The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers a pathway to EB-1 or EB-2 immigrant visas and permanent residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus fees, with a corporate track at $2 million. Trader consensus heavily favors 1-100 finalized sales in 2026 because implementation has produced minimal results: as of spring 2026, only one approval had occurred despite public claims of over $1 billion in inflows, with just 338 requests, 165 paid processing fees, and 59 petitions filed. Ongoing Department of Homeland Security vetting, lack of true expedited processing in practice, and pending legal challenges questioning executive authority continue to constrain uptake through the first half of the year, keeping higher-volume outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 77.3%
1k-2.5k 4.3%
101-1k 4.1%
>100k 4.0%
$290,832 Vol.
$290,832 Vol.
1-100
77%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
<1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
4%
1-100 77.3%
1k-2.5k 4.3%
101-1k 4.1%
>100k 4.0%
$290,832 Vol.
$290,832 Vol.
1-100
77%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
2%
5k-10k
<1%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
1%
>100k
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers a pathway to EB-1 or EB-2 immigrant visas and permanent residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus fees, with a corporate track at $2 million. Trader consensus heavily favors 1-100 finalized sales in 2026 because implementation has produced minimal results: as of spring 2026, only one approval had occurred despite public claims of over $1 billion in inflows, with just 338 requests, 165 paid processing fees, and 59 petitions filed. Ongoing Department of Homeland Security vetting, lack of true expedited processing in practice, and pending legal challenges questioning executive authority continue to constrain uptake through the first half of the year, keeping higher-volume outcomes at low implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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