California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment to raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of General Fund tax revenues, increase deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt repayment uses including unemployment insurance loans, and adjust Gann Limit interactions. The Democratic-led Legislature approved the measure in late June 2026 with strong bipartisan margins just before the ballot deadline, following budget negotiations that also addressed a projected structural deficit. Governor Newsom backed the proposal as a tool to build larger reserves and protect core services during revenue volatility. Trader consensus at roughly 71% for passage aligns with the measure’s fiscal framing and limited organized opposition to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Rainy Day Fund Proposition
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition
64% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
64% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment to raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of General Fund tax revenues, increase deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt repayment uses including unemployment insurance loans, and adjust Gann Limit interactions. The Democratic-led Legislature approved the measure in late June 2026 with strong bipartisan margins just before the ballot deadline, following budget negotiations that also addressed a projected structural deficit. Governor Newsom backed the proposal as a tool to build larger reserves and protect core services during revenue volatility. Trader consensus at roughly 71% for passage aligns with the measure’s fiscal framing and limited organized opposition to date.
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$834End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment to raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of General Fund tax revenues, increase deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt repayment uses including unemployment insurance loans, and adjust Gann Limit interactions. The Democratic-led Legislature approved the measure in late June 2026 with strong bipartisan margins just before the ballot deadline, following budget negotiations that also addressed a projected structural deficit. Governor Newsom backed the proposal as a tool to build larger reserves and protect core services during revenue volatility. Trader consensus at roughly 71% for passage aligns with the measure’s fiscal framing and limited organized opposition to date.
Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volume
$834End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide Proposition 2 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment to raise the Budget Stabilization Account cap from 10% to 20% of General Fund tax revenues, increase deposits during high capital gains years, expand eligible debt repayment uses including unemployment insurance loans, and adjust Gann Limit interactions. The Democratic-led Legislature approved the measure in late June 2026 with strong bipartisan margins just before the ballot deadline, following budget negotiations that also addressed a projected structural deficit. Governor Newsom backed the proposal as a tool to build larger reserves and protect core services during revenue volatility. Trader consensus at roughly 71% for passage aligns with the measure’s fiscal framing and limited organized opposition to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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