Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month rebound from June’s -0.4% decline, with core rising 0.2%, while the latest PCE print came in at 0.2% MoM and 3.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations and underscoring sticky services and shelter components amid lingering energy volatility from geopolitical tensions and tariff effects. These readings, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts around 3.4% annualized, position the 0.3–0.4% monthly outcomes as market favorites by reflecting a baseline of gradual cooling tempered by persistent underlying pressures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these implied probabilities, prices in limited upside risk from volatile categories while discounting sharper drops absent major downside surprises in energy or goods prices ahead of the September 11 release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 46%
0.3% 35%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 6%
$15,107 Vol.
$15,107 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
2%
-0.1%
<1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
35%
0.4%
46%
≥0.5%
11%
0.4% 46%
0.3% 35%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 6%
$15,107 Vol.
$15,107 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤-0.3%
$459 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$229 Vol.
2%
-0.1%
$255 Vol.
<1%
0.0%
$420 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$376 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$745 Vol.
6%
0.3%
$2,440 Vol.
35%
0.4%
$4,060 Vol.
46%
≥0.5%
$6,124 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month rebound from June’s -0.4% decline, with core rising 0.2%, while the latest PCE print came in at 0.2% MoM and 3.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations and underscoring sticky services and shelter components amid lingering energy volatility from geopolitical tensions and tariff effects. These readings, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts around 3.4% annualized, position the 0.3–0.4% monthly outcomes as market favorites by reflecting a baseline of gradual cooling tempered by persistent underlying pressures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these implied probabilities, prices in limited upside risk from volatile categories while discounting sharper drops absent major downside surprises in energy or goods prices ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$15,107End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month rebound from June’s -0.4% decline, with core rising 0.2%, while the latest PCE print came in at 0.2% MoM and 3.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations and underscoring sticky services and shelter components amid lingering energy volatility from geopolitical tensions and tariff effects. These readings, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts around 3.4% annualized, position the 0.3–0.4% monthly outcomes as market favorites by reflecting a baseline of gradual cooling tempered by persistent underlying pressures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these implied probabilities, prices in limited upside risk from volatile categories while discounting sharper drops absent major downside surprises in energy or goods prices ahead of the September 11 release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,107End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed a modest 0.1% month-over-month rebound from June’s -0.4% decline, with core rising 0.2%, while the latest PCE print came in at 0.2% MoM and 3.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations and underscoring sticky services and shelter components amid lingering energy volatility from geopolitical tensions and tariff effects. These readings, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts around 3.4% annualized, position the 0.3–0.4% monthly outcomes as market favorites by reflecting a baseline of gradual cooling tempered by persistent underlying pressures. Trader consensus, backed by real capital at these implied probabilities, prices in limited upside risk from volatile categories while discounting sharper drops absent major downside surprises in energy or goods prices ahead of the September 11 release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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