ChatGPT holds a 93.5% market-implied probability of topping the US free App Store chart on August 28 due to its sustained leadership in overall and productivity rankings, driven by broad user engagement with its large language model features, cross-device sync, and ongoing refinements such as recent bug-fix updates. Trader consensus reflects the app's record download momentum and daily active user scale, which have kept it ahead of narrower-appeal contenders like 7 Brew Coffee or event-tied TikTok variants. While this positioning appears durable, a sudden promotional surge or viral spike for a competitor could still shift the snapshot outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChatGPT 93%
Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 3.5%
ParentSquare 3.3%
7 Brew Coffee 3.0%

ChatGPT
93%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace
3%

ParentSquare
3%

7 Brew Coffee
3%

TikTok Pro - Events
3%

Threads
1%
ChatGPT 93%
Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 3.5%
ParentSquare 3.3%
7 Brew Coffee 3.0%

ChatGPT
93%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace
3%

ParentSquare
3%

7 Brew Coffee
3%

TikTok Pro - Events
3%

Threads
1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT holds a 93.5% market-implied probability of topping the US free App Store chart on August 28 due to its sustained leadership in overall and productivity rankings, driven by broad user engagement with its large language model features, cross-device sync, and ongoing refinements such as recent bug-fix updates. Trader consensus reflects the app's record download momentum and daily active user scale, which have kept it ahead of narrower-appeal contenders like 7 Brew Coffee or event-tied TikTok variants. While this positioning appears durable, a sudden promotional surge or viral spike for a competitor could still shift the snapshot outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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