Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers on January 5, 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military high command, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez as National Assembly president. The Trump administration has lifted sanctions on her, recognized her authority, secured cooperation on oil revenues and security matters, and backed ongoing talks with select opposition figures focused on judicial reform and disaster recovery after the June 2026 earthquakes. Major opposition leaders remain in exile or outside the process, while constitutional mechanisms have not triggered elections or declared a permanent vacancy. Scenarios that could alter this trajectory include a breakdown in U.S.-backed negotiations, internal regime shifts involving figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or a sudden move toward competitive presidential elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 2.7%
Dinorah Figuera 1.3%
Donald Trump <1%
$372,275 Vol.
$372,275 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
91%
María Corina Machado
3%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 91%
María Corina Machado 2.7%
Dinorah Figuera 1.3%
Donald Trump <1%
$372,275 Vol.
$372,275 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$90,551 Vol.
91%
María Corina Machado
$52,368 Vol.
3%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,243 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$2,684 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,786 Vol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,098 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,960 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,156 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers on January 5, 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military high command, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez as National Assembly president. The Trump administration has lifted sanctions on her, recognized her authority, secured cooperation on oil revenues and security matters, and backed ongoing talks with select opposition figures focused on judicial reform and disaster recovery after the June 2026 earthquakes. Major opposition leaders remain in exile or outside the process, while constitutional mechanisms have not triggered elections or declared a permanent vacancy. Scenarios that could alter this trajectory include a breakdown in U.S.-backed negotiations, internal regime shifts involving figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or a sudden move toward competitive presidential elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$372,275End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers on January 5, 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military high command, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez as National Assembly president. The Trump administration has lifted sanctions on her, recognized her authority, secured cooperation on oil revenues and security matters, and backed ongoing talks with select opposition figures focused on judicial reform and disaster recovery after the June 2026 earthquakes. Major opposition leaders remain in exile or outside the process, while constitutional mechanisms have not triggered elections or declared a permanent vacancy. Scenarios that could alter this trajectory include a breakdown in U.S.-backed negotiations, internal regime shifts involving figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or a sudden move toward competitive presidential elections.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$372,275End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader assessments as Venezuela’s de facto leader through the end of 2026 because she assumed interim presidential powers on January 5, 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro, with endorsement from the Supreme Tribunal of Justice, the military high command, and her brother Jorge Rodríguez as National Assembly president. The Trump administration has lifted sanctions on her, recognized her authority, secured cooperation on oil revenues and security matters, and backed ongoing talks with select opposition figures focused on judicial reform and disaster recovery after the June 2026 earthquakes. Major opposition leaders remain in exile or outside the process, while constitutional mechanisms have not triggered elections or declared a permanent vacancy. Scenarios that could alter this trajectory include a breakdown in U.S.-backed negotiations, internal regime shifts involving figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or a sudden move toward competitive presidential elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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