The US capture and removal of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, followed by Delcy Rodríguez’s assumption of acting presidential powers within the PSUV-led government, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around continuity of the existing power structure through the end of the year. Recent developments, including June earthquakes that slowed stabilization efforts, August talks between interim officials and a limited opposition delegation on judicial reform and asset access, and the exclusion of exiled figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González from active negotiations, have reinforced perceptions that institutional control rests with established actors rather than rapid opposition gains. U.S. pressure has produced measurable shifts in oil oversight, prisoner releases, and foreign alignments, yet the absence of scheduled multi-party elections or leadership changes before year-end keeps probabilities elevated for Maduro and his immediate circle while capping prospects for challengers amid ongoing exile and procedural constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 85.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.1%
No Head of State 1.2%
$95,791,026 Vol.
$95,791,026 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
85%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
2%
No Head of State
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 85.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.1%
No Head of State 1.2%
$95,791,026 Vol.
$95,791,026 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,779,899 Vol.
85%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,769,407 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,448,567 Vol.
2%
No Head of State
$1,515,062 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,214,659 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,089,153 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$817,076 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,164,000 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,980,596 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,634,999 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,125,665 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,405,438 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,178,636 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,803,248 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,751,542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture and removal of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, followed by Delcy Rodríguez’s assumption of acting presidential powers within the PSUV-led government, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around continuity of the existing power structure through the end of the year. Recent developments, including June earthquakes that slowed stabilization efforts, August talks between interim officials and a limited opposition delegation on judicial reform and asset access, and the exclusion of exiled figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González from active negotiations, have reinforced perceptions that institutional control rests with established actors rather than rapid opposition gains. U.S. pressure has produced measurable shifts in oil oversight, prisoner releases, and foreign alignments, yet the absence of scheduled multi-party elections or leadership changes before year-end keeps probabilities elevated for Maduro and his immediate circle while capping prospects for challengers amid ongoing exile and procedural constraints.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$95,791,026End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US capture and removal of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, followed by Delcy Rodríguez’s assumption of acting presidential powers within the PSUV-led government, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around continuity of the existing power structure through the end of the year. Recent developments, including June earthquakes that slowed stabilization efforts, August talks between interim officials and a limited opposition delegation on judicial reform and asset access, and the exclusion of exiled figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González from active negotiations, have reinforced perceptions that institutional control rests with established actors rather than rapid opposition gains. U.S. pressure has produced measurable shifts in oil oversight, prisoner releases, and foreign alignments, yet the absence of scheduled multi-party elections or leadership changes before year-end keeps probabilities elevated for Maduro and his immediate circle while capping prospects for challengers amid ongoing exile and procedural constraints.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,791,026End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US capture and removal of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, followed by Delcy Rodríguez’s assumption of acting presidential powers within the PSUV-led government, remains the dominant factor anchoring trader consensus around continuity of the existing power structure through the end of the year. Recent developments, including June earthquakes that slowed stabilization efforts, August talks between interim officials and a limited opposition delegation on judicial reform and asset access, and the exclusion of exiled figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González from active negotiations, have reinforced perceptions that institutional control rests with established actors rather than rapid opposition gains. U.S. pressure has produced measurable shifts in oil oversight, prisoner releases, and foreign alignments, yet the absence of scheduled multi-party elections or leadership changes before year-end keeps probabilities elevated for Maduro and his immediate circle while capping prospects for challengers amid ongoing exile and procedural constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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