**Trump's active continuation of presidential duties through mid-2026, including recent Rose Garden events, education policy remarks, and executive actions on tariffs and sanctions, underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 Walter Reed examination described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite some opposition questioning and prior specialist visits. Impeachment resolutions introduced by Democrats, such as H.Res.939, have not advanced to removal, consistent with historical patterns where Senate conviction thresholds are rarely met. No invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation signals have emerged, and midterms scheduled for November 2026 do not alter eligibility before year-end. This environment of institutional continuity and absence of triggering events supports the 93.5% "No" implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7% chance
$11,141,680 Vol.
$11,141,680 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$11,141,680 Vol.
$11,141,680 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's active continuation of presidential duties through mid-2026, including recent Rose Garden events, education policy remarks, and executive actions on tariffs and sanctions, underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 Walter Reed examination described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite some opposition questioning and prior specialist visits. Impeachment resolutions introduced by Democrats, such as H.Res.939, have not advanced to removal, consistent with historical patterns where Senate conviction thresholds are rarely met. No invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation signals have emerged, and midterms scheduled for November 2026 do not alter eligibility before year-end. This environment of institutional continuity and absence of triggering events supports the 93.5% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,141,680End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's active continuation of presidential duties through mid-2026, including recent Rose Garden events, education policy remarks, and executive actions on tariffs and sanctions, underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 Walter Reed examination described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite some opposition questioning and prior specialist visits. Impeachment resolutions introduced by Democrats, such as H.Res.939, have not advanced to removal, consistent with historical patterns where Senate conviction thresholds are rarely met. No invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation signals have emerged, and midterms scheduled for November 2026 do not alter eligibility before year-end. This environment of institutional continuity and absence of triggering events supports the 93.5% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,141,680End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trump's active continuation of presidential duties through mid-2026, including recent Rose Garden events, education policy remarks, and executive actions on tariffs and sanctions, underpins trader expectations that he will remain in office through 2026.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 Walter Reed examination described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite some opposition questioning and prior specialist visits. Impeachment resolutions introduced by Democrats, such as H.Res.939, have not advanced to removal, consistent with historical patterns where Senate conviction thresholds are rarely met. No invocation of the 25th Amendment or resignation signals have emerged, and midterms scheduled for November 2026 do not alter eligibility before year-end. This environment of institutional continuity and absence of triggering events supports the 93.5% "No" implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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