Recent polling shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall intentions for one of Rondônia’s two Senate seats, while Sílvia Cristina (PP) and others trail closely in combined first- and second-choice metrics, keeping the second-place outcome competitive. Multiple right-leaning candidates, including Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Mariana Carvalho, draw support from the state’s bolsonarista base, and voter ability to select two names fragments preferences across the field. Withdrawals such as Confúcio Moura’s have narrowed but not consolidated options ahead of the October 4 vote. The tight market pricing reflects this dispersion and uncertainty over final turnout and alliances; further debate performances, party ticket alignments, or late regional events could shift second-place probabilities by clarifying voter second preferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia Cristina 35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 25.9%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 14%
Acir Gurgacz 7.8%
$13,940 Vol.
$13,940 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
28%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
14%
Acir Gurgacz
8%
Aires Mota
3%
Mariana Carvalho
3%
Luciana Oliveira
3%
Neidinha
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Luis Fernando
<1%
Sílvia Cristina 35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 25.9%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 14%
Acir Gurgacz 7.8%
$13,940 Vol.
$13,940 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$8,016 Vol.
35%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$822 Vol.
28%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$2,165 Vol.
14%
Acir Gurgacz
$743 Vol.
8%
Aires Mota
$501 Vol.
3%
Mariana Carvalho
$194 Vol.
3%
Luciana Oliveira
$239 Vol.
3%
Neidinha
$211 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$788 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$262 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall intentions for one of Rondônia’s two Senate seats, while Sílvia Cristina (PP) and others trail closely in combined first- and second-choice metrics, keeping the second-place outcome competitive. Multiple right-leaning candidates, including Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Mariana Carvalho, draw support from the state’s bolsonarista base, and voter ability to select two names fragments preferences across the field. Withdrawals such as Confúcio Moura’s have narrowed but not consolidated options ahead of the October 4 vote. The tight market pricing reflects this dispersion and uncertainty over final turnout and alliances; further debate performances, party ticket alignments, or late regional events could shift second-place probabilities by clarifying voter second preferences.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$13,940End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall intentions for one of Rondônia’s two Senate seats, while Sílvia Cristina (PP) and others trail closely in combined first- and second-choice metrics, keeping the second-place outcome competitive. Multiple right-leaning candidates, including Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Mariana Carvalho, draw support from the state’s bolsonarista base, and voter ability to select two names fragments preferences across the field. Withdrawals such as Confúcio Moura’s have narrowed but not consolidated options ahead of the October 4 vote. The tight market pricing reflects this dispersion and uncertainty over final turnout and alliances; further debate performances, party ticket alignments, or late regional events could shift second-place probabilities by clarifying voter second preferences.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,940End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) leading overall intentions for one of Rondônia’s two Senate seats, while Sílvia Cristina (PP) and others trail closely in combined first- and second-choice metrics, keeping the second-place outcome competitive. Multiple right-leaning candidates, including Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) and Mariana Carvalho, draw support from the state’s bolsonarista base, and voter ability to select two names fragments preferences across the field. Withdrawals such as Confúcio Moura’s have narrowed but not consolidated options ahead of the October 4 vote. The tight market pricing reflects this dispersion and uncertainty over final turnout and alliances; further debate performances, party ticket alignments, or late regional events could shift second-place probabilities by clarifying voter second preferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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