Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains the confirmed HHS secretary, with Senate approval in February 2025 and ongoing public actions through mid-2026, including congressional testimony on agency policy and budget matters in April and termination of certain COVID-19 emergency use authorizations in June. Recent reporting has noted internal department tensions and questions about engagement levels, yet no formal resignation announcements, White House signals, or procedural steps toward removal have emerged. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 76% aligns with the absence of immediate catalysts that would force an exit before year-end, consistent with typical cabinet tenure patterns absent major scandals or policy reversals. Upcoming legislative sessions and administration priorities could still introduce variables within the resolution window.