**NVIDIA's official guidance anchors trader consensus on 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 26).** The company guided 75.0% ±50 basis points in May, matching the prior quarter's ~75% result and reflecting sustained pricing power in its AI data-center business amid Blackwell ramp and networking contributions. This range captures the expected outcome with high probability given consistent sequential stability, strong hyperscaler demand, and the company's exclusion of uncertain China revenue from the outlook. Key supporting factors include a favorable product mix (high-margin GPUs plus growing networking), long-term supply agreements helping offset rising HBM/memory costs, and historical ability to maintain mid-70s margins during rapid scaling. Analyst models and recent commentary align closely with guidance, reinforcing the market-implied 93.5% probability. Realistic scenarios that could push results outside the band involve sharper-than-expected input-cost inflation from memory or components, a faster shift toward lower-margin full-rack systems, larger inventory provisions, or unforeseen supply-chain disruptions. The August 26 earnings release will provide the definitive data, with any material deviation from guidance likely requiring clear evidence of these pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated74%-76% 94%
72%-74% 3.6%
76%-78% 3.2%
<72% 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
<72%
2%
72%-74%
4%
74%-76%
94%
76%-78%
3%
78%+
1%
74%-76% 94%
72%-74% 3.6%
76%-78% 3.2%
<72% 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
<72%
$811 Vol.
2%
72%-74%
$1,016 Vol.
4%
74%-76%
$7,295 Vol.
94%
76%-78%
$380 Vol.
3%
78%+
$264 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.**NVIDIA's official guidance anchors trader consensus on 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 26).** The company guided 75.0% ±50 basis points in May, matching the prior quarter's ~75% result and reflecting sustained pricing power in its AI data-center business amid Blackwell ramp and networking contributions. This range captures the expected outcome with high probability given consistent sequential stability, strong hyperscaler demand, and the company's exclusion of uncertain China revenue from the outlook.
Key supporting factors include a favorable product mix (high-margin GPUs plus growing networking), long-term supply agreements helping offset rising HBM/memory costs, and historical ability to maintain mid-70s margins during rapid scaling. Analyst models and recent commentary align closely with guidance, reinforcing the market-implied 93.5% probability.
Realistic scenarios that could push results outside the band involve sharper-than-expected input-cost inflation from memory or components, a faster shift toward lower-margin full-rack systems, larger inventory provisions, or unforeseen supply-chain disruptions. The August 26 earnings release will provide the definitive data, with any material deviation from guidance likely requiring clear evidence of these pressures.
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$9,765End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.**NVIDIA's official guidance anchors trader consensus on 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 26).** The company guided 75.0% ±50 basis points in May, matching the prior quarter's ~75% result and reflecting sustained pricing power in its AI data-center business amid Blackwell ramp and networking contributions. This range captures the expected outcome with high probability given consistent sequential stability, strong hyperscaler demand, and the company's exclusion of uncertain China revenue from the outlook.
Key supporting factors include a favorable product mix (high-margin GPUs plus growing networking), long-term supply agreements helping offset rising HBM/memory costs, and historical ability to maintain mid-70s margins during rapid scaling. Analyst models and recent commentary align closely with guidance, reinforcing the market-implied 93.5% probability.
Realistic scenarios that could push results outside the band involve sharper-than-expected input-cost inflation from memory or components, a faster shift toward lower-margin full-rack systems, larger inventory provisions, or unforeseen supply-chain disruptions. The August 26 earnings release will provide the definitive data, with any material deviation from guidance likely requiring clear evidence of these pressures.
This market will resolve according to NVIDIA's adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$9,765End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**NVIDIA's official guidance anchors trader consensus on 74%-76% non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q2 2027 (ended July 26).** The company guided 75.0% ±50 basis points in May, matching the prior quarter's ~75% result and reflecting sustained pricing power in its AI data-center business amid Blackwell ramp and networking contributions. This range captures the expected outcome with high probability given consistent sequential stability, strong hyperscaler demand, and the company's exclusion of uncertain China revenue from the outlook. Key supporting factors include a favorable product mix (high-margin GPUs plus growing networking), long-term supply agreements helping offset rising HBM/memory costs, and historical ability to maintain mid-70s margins during rapid scaling. Analyst models and recent commentary align closely with guidance, reinforcing the market-implied 93.5% probability. Realistic scenarios that could push results outside the band involve sharper-than-expected input-cost inflation from memory or components, a faster shift toward lower-margin full-rack systems, larger inventory provisions, or unforeseen supply-chain disruptions. The August 26 earnings release will provide the definitive data, with any material deviation from guidance likely requiring clear evidence of these pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions