North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 94.6 percent. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won the June primary and previously captured roughly 69 percent in the 2024 general election, benefits from the state’s consistent Republican presidential margins, limited Democratic infrastructure, and a rematch against the same Democratic–NPL opponent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and modest candidate recruitment. A significant national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal, or major turnout shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset unlikely absent dramatic developments before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedND-AL House Election Winner
ND-AL House Election Winner
$52,814 Vol.
$52,814 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$52,814 Vol.
$52,814 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$36,031 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$16,783 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 94.6 percent. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won the June primary and previously captured roughly 69 percent in the 2024 general election, benefits from the state’s consistent Republican presidential margins, limited Democratic infrastructure, and a rematch against the same Democratic–NPL opponent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and modest candidate recruitment. A significant national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal, or major turnout shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset unlikely absent dramatic developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$52,814End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 94.6 percent. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won the June primary and previously captured roughly 69 percent in the 2024 general election, benefits from the state’s consistent Republican presidential margins, limited Democratic infrastructure, and a rematch against the same Democratic–NPL opponent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and modest candidate recruitment. A significant national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal, or major turnout shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset unlikely absent dramatic developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,814End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 94.6 percent. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak, who won the June primary and previously captured roughly 69 percent in the 2024 general election, benefits from the state’s consistent Republican presidential margins, limited Democratic infrastructure, and a rematch against the same Democratic–NPL opponent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and modest candidate recruitment. A significant national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal, or major turnout shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers make an upset unlikely absent dramatic developments before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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