Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a wide margin in the August 4, 2026 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Paul Berry as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price the outcome near certainty for the Democratic Party based on this structural advantage, low Republican competitiveness, and limited campaign activity to date. A major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or extraordinary national political shift would be required to alter the result before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$35,144 Vol.
$35,144 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
99%
Republican Party
2%
$35,144 Vol.
$35,144 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,487 Vol.
99%
Republican Party
$13,656 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a wide margin in the August 4, 2026 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Paul Berry as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price the outcome near certainty for the Democratic Party based on this structural advantage, low Republican competitiveness, and limited campaign activity to date. A major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or extraordinary national political shift would be required to alter the result before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$35,144End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a wide margin in the August 4, 2026 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Paul Berry as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price the outcome near certainty for the Democratic Party based on this structural advantage, low Republican competitiveness, and limited campaign activity to date. A major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or extraordinary national political shift would be required to alter the result before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,144End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District after defeating former Representative Cori Bush by a wide margin in the August 4, 2026 primary. The St. Louis-based seat carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+29 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election matchup against Republican nominee Paul Berry as safe or solid Democratic. Traders price the outcome near certainty for the Democratic Party based on this structural advantage, low Republican competitiveness, and limited campaign activity to date. A major unforeseen development such as a late scandal or extraordinary national political shift would be required to alter the result before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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