The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 4-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record, the AL's best mark, driven by consistent pitching depth and timely hitting that has produced steady series wins into late August. Traders price them as the clear favorite at 61.2% because their cushion and recent form leave limited room for the field to close the gap over the final month. The New York Yankees sit 3.5–4 games back at 74-57 or 75-57, keeping a 23% chance alive through strong overall run differential and home-road balance, yet recent losses have prevented meaningful gains. Boston’s 6.5% reflects a 5–6 game deficit despite solid recent stretches, while Toronto and Baltimore trail by 14-plus games with little realistic path remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTampa Bay Rays 61.1%
New York Yankees 23%
Boston Red Sox 6.5%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$256,194 Vol.
$256,194 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
61%
New York Yankees
23%
Boston Red Sox
6%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Tampa Bay Rays 61.1%
New York Yankees 23%
Boston Red Sox 6.5%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$256,194 Vol.
$256,194 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
$61,732 Vol.
61%
New York Yankees
$88,074 Vol.
23%
Boston Red Sox
$19,418 Vol.
6%
Toronto Blue Jays
$27,793 Vol.
1%
Baltimore Orioles
$59,177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 4-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record, the AL's best mark, driven by consistent pitching depth and timely hitting that has produced steady series wins into late August. Traders price them as the clear favorite at 61.2% because their cushion and recent form leave limited room for the field to close the gap over the final month. The New York Yankees sit 3.5–4 games back at 74-57 or 75-57, keeping a 23% chance alive through strong overall run differential and home-road balance, yet recent losses have prevented meaningful gains. Boston’s 6.5% reflects a 5–6 game deficit despite solid recent stretches, while Toronto and Baltimore trail by 14-plus games with little realistic path remaining.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$256,194End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 4-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record, the AL's best mark, driven by consistent pitching depth and timely hitting that has produced steady series wins into late August. Traders price them as the clear favorite at 61.2% because their cushion and recent form leave limited room for the field to close the gap over the final month. The New York Yankees sit 3.5–4 games back at 74-57 or 75-57, keeping a 23% chance alive through strong overall run differential and home-road balance, yet recent losses have prevented meaningful gains. Boston’s 6.5% reflects a 5–6 game deficit despite solid recent stretches, while Toronto and Baltimore trail by 14-plus games with little realistic path remaining.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$256,194End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 4-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record, the AL's best mark, driven by consistent pitching depth and timely hitting that has produced steady series wins into late August. Traders price them as the clear favorite at 61.2% because their cushion and recent form leave limited room for the field to close the gap over the final month. The New York Yankees sit 3.5–4 games back at 74-57 or 75-57, keeping a 23% chance alive through strong overall run differential and home-road balance, yet recent losses have prevented meaningful gains. Boston’s 6.5% reflects a 5–6 game deficit despite solid recent stretches, while Toronto and Baltimore trail by 14-plus games with little realistic path remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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