Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 39 home runs for the Phillies as of late August 2026, placing him one long ball from the 40-homer mark with roughly 30-35 games remaining. Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson sit at 36 apiece, while Junior Caminero has 35 and several others trail closely. Traders weigh Schwarber’s consistent power output, favorable remaining schedule, and limited rest risk against potential late-season slumps or lineup adjustments for contenders. Coors Field effects for Hunter Goodman and park factors for others add variance, as does the possibility of injuries or load management altering playing time in the final stretch. Current implied probabilities reflect these pace-driven dynamics among established sluggers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$28,096 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
98%
Yordan Alvarez
92%
Junior Caminero
84%
Matt Olson
83%
Kazuma Okamoto
51%
Byron Buxton
47%
Hunter Goodman
33%
Shohei Ohtani
27%
Munetaka Murakami
24%
Pete Alonso
9%
Dillon Dingler
12%
Jordan Walker
10%
Colson Montgomery
10%
Brandon Lowe
9%
James Wood
9%
CJ Abrams
8%
Bryce Harper
7%
Miguel Vargas
7%
Wilson Contreras
6%
Christian Walker
5%
5%
4%
Mike Trout
3%
Ketel Marte
2%
Juan Soto
2%
Manny Machado
20%
Aaron Judge
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Ben Rice
47%
$28,096 Vol.
Kyle Schwarber
$501 Vol.
98%
Yordan Alvarez
$1,265 Vol.
92%
Junior Caminero
$1,533 Vol.
84%
Matt Olson
$1,330 Vol.
83%
Kazuma Okamoto
$0 Vol.
51%
Byron Buxton
$2,357 Vol.
47%
Hunter Goodman
$2,411 Vol.
33%
Shohei Ohtani
$1,095 Vol.
27%
Munetaka Murakami
$543 Vol.
24%
Pete Alonso
$76 Vol.
9%
Dillon Dingler
$3,284 Vol.
12%
Jordan Walker
$587 Vol.
10%
Colson Montgomery
$1,026 Vol.
10%
Brandon Lowe
$1,893 Vol.
9%
James Wood
$1,525 Vol.
9%
CJ Abrams
$1,270 Vol.
8%
Bryce Harper
$390 Vol.
7%
Miguel Vargas
$120 Vol.
7%
Wilson Contreras
$399 Vol.
6%
Christian Walker
$328 Vol.
5%
$79 Vol.
5%
$0 Vol.
4%
Mike Trout
$301 Vol.
3%
Ketel Marte
$393 Vol.
2%
Juan Soto
$360 Vol.
2%
Manny Machado
$242 Vol.
20%
Aaron Judge
$1,773 Vol.
2%
Nick Kurtz
$263 Vol.
1%
Shea Langeliers
$2,432 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$317 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 39 home runs for the Phillies as of late August 2026, placing him one long ball from the 40-homer mark with roughly 30-35 games remaining. Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson sit at 36 apiece, while Junior Caminero has 35 and several others trail closely. Traders weigh Schwarber’s consistent power output, favorable remaining schedule, and limited rest risk against potential late-season slumps or lineup adjustments for contenders. Coors Field effects for Hunter Goodman and park factors for others add variance, as does the possibility of injuries or load management altering playing time in the final stretch. Current implied probabilities reflect these pace-driven dynamics among established sluggers.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$28,096End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 39 home runs for the Phillies as of late August 2026, placing him one long ball from the 40-homer mark with roughly 30-35 games remaining. Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson sit at 36 apiece, while Junior Caminero has 35 and several others trail closely. Traders weigh Schwarber’s consistent power output, favorable remaining schedule, and limited rest risk against potential late-season slumps or lineup adjustments for contenders. Coors Field effects for Hunter Goodman and park factors for others add variance, as does the possibility of injuries or load management altering playing time in the final stretch. Current implied probabilities reflect these pace-driven dynamics among established sluggers.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,096End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 39 home runs for the Phillies as of late August 2026, placing him one long ball from the 40-homer mark with roughly 30-35 games remaining. Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson sit at 36 apiece, while Junior Caminero has 35 and several others trail closely. Traders weigh Schwarber’s consistent power output, favorable remaining schedule, and limited rest risk against potential late-season slumps or lineup adjustments for contenders. Coors Field effects for Hunter Goodman and park factors for others add variance, as does the possibility of injuries or load management altering playing time in the final stretch. Current implied probabilities reflect these pace-driven dynamics among established sluggers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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