Cam Schlittler of the Yankees holds the clear edge in the 2026 AL Cy Young race, with his league-leading 2.16 ERA, 152-plus innings pitched, 5.1 bWAR, and elite 0.94 WHIP reflecting consistent run prevention and workload that have positioned him as the trader consensus favorite at 62.3% implied probability. Dylan Cease of the Blue Jays trails at 34.8% due to his AL-leading strikeout totals and 13.14 K/9 rate, bolstered by a 1.49 ERA since early July, though his lower innings total and slightly higher ERA keep him behind. Distant options like Sonny Gray, Logan Gilbert, and others remain sidelined by larger gaps in volume and advanced metrics at this late-August stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 62.1%
Dylan Cease 34.9%
Sonny Gray 3.0%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,266,730 Vol.
$1,266,730 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
35%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
3%
Cam Schlittler 62.1%
Dylan Cease 34.9%
Sonny Gray 3.0%
Logan Gilbert <1%
$1,266,730 Vol.
$1,266,730 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
35%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
62%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
3%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cam Schlittler of the Yankees holds the clear edge in the 2026 AL Cy Young race, with his league-leading 2.16 ERA, 152-plus innings pitched, 5.1 bWAR, and elite 0.94 WHIP reflecting consistent run prevention and workload that have positioned him as the trader consensus favorite at 62.3% implied probability. Dylan Cease of the Blue Jays trails at 34.8% due to his AL-leading strikeout totals and 13.14 K/9 rate, bolstered by a 1.49 ERA since early July, though his lower innings total and slightly higher ERA keep him behind. Distant options like Sonny Gray, Logan Gilbert, and others remain sidelined by larger gaps in volume and advanced metrics at this late-August stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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