Yordan Alvarez commands overwhelming trader consensus in the MLB intentional walks market because he leads the majors by a wide margin with 28 IBB through late August, including three in a single game on August 23 that broke the Astros franchise record. The Houston DH’s elite power, .613 slugging, and league-leading OPS have prompted opposing managers to routinely bypass him in high-leverage situations with runners on base. Other contenders trail significantly in actual IBB volume despite strong walk rates or power profiles. With more than a month remaining, only a late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented surge by a rival slugger could realistically alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYordan Alvarez 95.8%
Munetaka Murakami 4.0%
Shohei Ohtani 2.2%
Nick Kurtz <1%
$13,844 Vol.
$13,844 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
96%
Munetaka Murakami
4%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
José Ramírez
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
James Wood
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Jonathan Aranda
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Iván Herrera
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 95.8%
Munetaka Murakami 4.0%
Shohei Ohtani 2.2%
Nick Kurtz <1%
$13,844 Vol.
$13,844 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
96%
Munetaka Murakami
4%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Nick Kurtz
1%
José Ramírez
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
James Wood
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Jonathan Aranda
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Iván Herrera
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez commands overwhelming trader consensus in the MLB intentional walks market because he leads the majors by a wide margin with 28 IBB through late August, including three in a single game on August 23 that broke the Astros franchise record. The Houston DH’s elite power, .613 slugging, and league-leading OPS have prompted opposing managers to routinely bypass him in high-leverage situations with runners on base. Other contenders trail significantly in actual IBB volume despite strong walk rates or power profiles. With more than a month remaining, only a late injury to Alvarez or an unprecedented surge by a rival slugger could realistically alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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