Soto holds a commanding edge in the 2026 season walk totals, already at 63 against Judge’s 42 through late August while posting a 17.5% BB% in 359 plate appearances compared to Judge’s lower rate in fewer opportunities. Soto’s elite plate discipline and history of leading or near-leading the league in walks underpin trader confidence at 97.1% implied probability, reflecting his consistent approach of working deep counts regardless of team or lineup spot. Judge’s extended absence with a calf injury has further widened the gap by limiting his plate appearances. Resolution hinges on remaining games played and health, with Soto’s edge likely to hold unless Judge returns for an unusually high-volume, patient finish or Soto suffers further setbacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Judge
3% chance
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
Judge
3% chance
$30,624 Vol.
$30,624 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto holds a commanding edge in the 2026 season walk totals, already at 63 against Judge’s 42 through late August while posting a 17.5% BB% in 359 plate appearances compared to Judge’s lower rate in fewer opportunities. Soto’s elite plate discipline and history of leading or near-leading the league in walks underpin trader confidence at 97.1% implied probability, reflecting his consistent approach of working deep counts regardless of team or lineup spot. Judge’s extended absence with a calf injury has further widened the gap by limiting his plate appearances. Resolution hinges on remaining games played and health, with Soto’s edge likely to hold unless Judge returns for an unusually high-volume, patient finish or Soto suffers further setbacks.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$30,624End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto holds a commanding edge in the 2026 season walk totals, already at 63 against Judge’s 42 through late August while posting a 17.5% BB% in 359 plate appearances compared to Judge’s lower rate in fewer opportunities. Soto’s elite plate discipline and history of leading or near-leading the league in walks underpin trader confidence at 97.1% implied probability, reflecting his consistent approach of working deep counts regardless of team or lineup spot. Judge’s extended absence with a calf injury has further widened the gap by limiting his plate appearances. Resolution hinges on remaining games played and health, with Soto’s edge likely to hold unless Judge returns for an unusually high-volume, patient finish or Soto suffers further setbacks.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,624End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Soto holds a commanding edge in the 2026 season walk totals, already at 63 against Judge’s 42 through late August while posting a 17.5% BB% in 359 plate appearances compared to Judge’s lower rate in fewer opportunities. Soto’s elite plate discipline and history of leading or near-leading the league in walks underpin trader confidence at 97.1% implied probability, reflecting his consistent approach of working deep counts regardless of team or lineup spot. Judge’s extended absence with a calf injury has further widened the gap by limiting his plate appearances. Resolution hinges on remaining games played and health, with Soto’s edge likely to hold unless Judge returns for an unusually high-volume, patient finish or Soto suffers further setbacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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