Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The August 4 Democratic primary, in which state Rep. Donavan McKinney narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, produced a unified nominee backed by both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban demographics centered on Detroit, has solidified trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Taras Nykoriak. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's structural advantages or a major late-cycle shift in turnout or candidate viability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$48,949 Vol.
$48,949 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$48,949 Vol.
$48,949 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,960 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$19,989 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The August 4 Democratic primary, in which state Rep. Donavan McKinney narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, produced a unified nominee backed by both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban demographics centered on Detroit, has solidified trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Taras Nykoriak. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's structural advantages or a major late-cycle shift in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,949End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The August 4 Democratic primary, in which state Rep. Donavan McKinney narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, produced a unified nominee backed by both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban demographics centered on Detroit, has solidified trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Taras Nykoriak. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's structural advantages or a major late-cycle shift in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,949End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles. The August 4 Democratic primary, in which state Rep. Donavan McKinney narrowly defeated incumbent Shri Thanedar, produced a unified nominee backed by both progressive and establishment factions. This outcome, combined with the district's urban demographics centered on Detroit, has solidified trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Taras Nykoriak. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal of the district's structural advantages or a major late-cycle shift in turnout or candidate viability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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