**The trial for Nicolás Maduro on U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains scheduled for June 1, 2027, in Manhattan federal court, with pretrial motions and oral arguments on jurisdictional issues—including sovereign immunity—set to begin in September and continue through November 2026.** Both Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation and subsequent transfer to New York custody. Defense counsel has signaled plans to contest the indictment on multiple grounds, including head-of-state immunity and the circumstances of the apprehension, while prosecutors continue to disclose evidence under court deadlines. With the case still in its early procedural phase more than nine months before jury selection and no resolution of threshold motions, traders assess full conviction across all counts as the less likely outcome amid the extended timeline, potential dismissals, and inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30% chance
$132,711 Vol.
$132,711 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
30% chance
$132,711 Vol.
$132,711 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The trial for Nicolás Maduro on U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains scheduled for June 1, 2027, in Manhattan federal court, with pretrial motions and oral arguments on jurisdictional issues—including sovereign immunity—set to begin in September and continue through November 2026.** Both Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation and subsequent transfer to New York custody. Defense counsel has signaled plans to contest the indictment on multiple grounds, including head-of-state immunity and the circumstances of the apprehension, while prosecutors continue to disclose evidence under court deadlines. With the case still in its early procedural phase more than nine months before jury selection and no resolution of threshold motions, traders assess full conviction across all counts as the less likely outcome amid the extended timeline, potential dismissals, and inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$132,711End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The trial for Nicolás Maduro on U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains scheduled for June 1, 2027, in Manhattan federal court, with pretrial motions and oral arguments on jurisdictional issues—including sovereign immunity—set to begin in September and continue through November 2026.** Both Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation and subsequent transfer to New York custody. Defense counsel has signaled plans to contest the indictment on multiple grounds, including head-of-state immunity and the circumstances of the apprehension, while prosecutors continue to disclose evidence under court deadlines. With the case still in its early procedural phase more than nine months before jury selection and no resolution of threshold motions, traders assess full conviction across all counts as the less likely outcome amid the extended timeline, potential dismissals, and inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$132,711End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The trial for Nicolás Maduro on U.S. federal narco-terrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains scheduled for June 1, 2027, in Manhattan federal court, with pretrial motions and oral arguments on jurisdictional issues—including sovereign immunity—set to begin in September and continue through November 2026.** Both Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation and subsequent transfer to New York custody. Defense counsel has signaled plans to contest the indictment on multiple grounds, including head-of-state immunity and the circumstances of the apprehension, while prosecutors continue to disclose evidence under court deadlines. With the case still in its early procedural phase more than nine months before jury selection and no resolution of threshold motions, traders assess full conviction across all counts as the less likely outcome amid the extended timeline, potential dismissals, and inherent uncertainties of complex federal prosecutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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