Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Lucknow on August 31 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential—evident in the past 48 hours with highs limited to 31–34°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and scattered rainfall—continue to moderate daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model runs show sensitivity to the timing of convective activity: early or widespread storms favor lower peaks near 30–31°C, while delayed or isolated development could allow brief clearing and readings of 32–33°C. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
9%
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$6 Vol.
8%
30°C
$8 Vol.
18%
31°C
$47 Vol.
32%
32°C
$210 Vol.
27%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C or higher
$42 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Lucknow on August 31 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential—evident in the past 48 hours with highs limited to 31–34°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and scattered rainfall—continue to moderate daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model runs show sensitivity to the timing of convective activity: early or widespread storms favor lower peaks near 30–31°C, while delayed or isolated development could allow brief clearing and readings of 32–33°C. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,001End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Lucknow on August 31 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential—evident in the past 48 hours with highs limited to 31–34°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and scattered rainfall—continue to moderate daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model runs show sensitivity to the timing of convective activity: early or widespread storms favor lower peaks near 30–31°C, while delayed or isolated development could allow brief clearing and readings of 32–33°C. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,001End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Lucknow on August 31 under mainly clear skies and strong surface winds, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 31–32°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and afternoon thunderstorm potential—evident in the past 48 hours with highs limited to 31–34°C amid high humidity near 80–90% and scattered rainfall—continue to moderate daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model runs show sensitivity to the timing of convective activity: early or widespread storms favor lower peaks near 30–31°C, while delayed or isolated development could allow brief clearing and readings of 32–33°C. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model outputs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions