Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after the previous Democratic incumbent declined to run in the new boundaries spanning western Broward and Palm Beach counties through Hendry and Collier. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Republican. The August 18 primaries produced nominees Casey Askar for Republicans and Pia Dandiya for Democrats, with the GOP contest drawing heavy outside spending in a crowded field. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 60 percent, while the Democratic nominee retains a path through turnout and suburban performance in a district that remains more competitive than most Florida seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$39,615 Vol.
$39,615 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
$39,615 Vol.
$39,615 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,674 Vol.
60%
Democratic Party
$16,941 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after the previous Democratic incumbent declined to run in the new boundaries spanning western Broward and Palm Beach counties through Hendry and Collier. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Republican. The August 18 primaries produced nominees Casey Askar for Republicans and Pia Dandiya for Democrats, with the GOP contest drawing heavy outside spending in a crowded field. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 60 percent, while the Democratic nominee retains a path through turnout and suburban performance in a district that remains more competitive than most Florida seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,615End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after the previous Democratic incumbent declined to run in the new boundaries spanning western Broward and Palm Beach counties through Hendry and Collier. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Republican. The August 18 primaries produced nominees Casey Askar for Republicans and Pia Dandiya for Democrats, with the GOP contest drawing heavy outside spending in a crowded field. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 60 percent, while the Democratic nominee retains a path through turnout and suburban performance in a district that remains more competitive than most Florida seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,615End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after the previous Democratic incumbent declined to run in the new boundaries spanning western Broward and Palm Beach counties through Hendry and Collier. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Lean or Tilt Republican. The August 18 primaries produced nominees Casey Askar for Republicans and Pia Dandiya for Democrats, with the GOP contest drawing heavy outside spending in a crowded field. These structural factors and the recent primary outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 60 percent, while the Democratic nominee retains a path through turnout and suburban performance in a district that remains more competitive than most Florida seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions