The Federal Reserve's statutory foundation under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act requires congressional legislation to repeal, creating high procedural barriers that explain the 95% trader consensus against abolition before 2027. A related bill introduced in the 119th Congress remains stalled in committee with negligible support, while recent activity centers on Federal Open Market Committee leadership transitions, regulatory capital proposals, and monetary policy debates rather than structural elimination. With limited session time remaining and no active floor votes or bipartisan momentum, traders price in the low probability of swift passage. Late developments such as an unexpected appropriations rider or crisis-driven executive push could theoretically shift odds, though both face entrenched institutional and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's statutory foundation under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act requires congressional legislation to repeal, creating high procedural barriers that explain the 95% trader consensus against abolition before 2027. A related bill introduced in the 119th Congress remains stalled in committee with negligible support, while recent activity centers on Federal Open Market Committee leadership transitions, regulatory capital proposals, and monetary policy debates rather than structural elimination. With limited session time remaining and no active floor votes or bipartisan momentum, traders price in the low probability of swift passage. Late developments such as an unexpected appropriations rider or crisis-driven executive push could theoretically shift odds, though both face entrenched institutional and political obstacles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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