Esteban “Steve” Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff, 55% to 44%. Guerra, former Port of Brownsville board chairman, advanced to face Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Cameron County has long favored Democratic candidates in countywide races, giving the party nominee a structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins. Trader consensus around Guerra’s commanding position reflects this partisan baseline and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the general-election matchup. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unusually high Republican turnout, a major scandal, or health-related withdrawal before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
91%
Mauro Garza
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
$5,768 Vol.
91%
Mauro Garza
$417 Vol.
5%
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban “Steve” Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff, 55% to 44%. Guerra, former Port of Brownsville board chairman, advanced to face Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Cameron County has long favored Democratic candidates in countywide races, giving the party nominee a structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins. Trader consensus around Guerra’s commanding position reflects this partisan baseline and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the general-election matchup. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unusually high Republican turnout, a major scandal, or health-related withdrawal before November.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$6,185End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban “Steve” Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff, 55% to 44%. Guerra, former Port of Brownsville board chairman, advanced to face Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Cameron County has long favored Democratic candidates in countywide races, giving the party nominee a structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins. Trader consensus around Guerra’s commanding position reflects this partisan baseline and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the general-election matchup. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unusually high Republican turnout, a major scandal, or health-related withdrawal before November.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Volume
$6,185End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esteban “Steve” Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge by defeating three-term incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26, 2026, primary runoff, 55% to 44%. Guerra, former Port of Brownsville board chairman, advanced to face Republican nominee Mauro Garza in the November general election. Cameron County has long favored Democratic candidates in countywide races, giving the party nominee a structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and historical margins. Trader consensus around Guerra’s commanding position reflects this partisan baseline and the absence of late-breaking developments that would alter the general-election matchup. Scenarios that could still shift odds include unusually high Republican turnout, a major scandal, or health-related withdrawal before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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