Poligarch
$187.3K
Positions Value
$13.6K
Biggest Win
46,959
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
59.8¢
96.5¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?

Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
58.6¢
100¢

Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
70.9¢
100¢

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?
94.3¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?
65.5¢
100¢

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?
86¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
69.8¢
100¢

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
73.1¢
100¢

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?
58.1¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 19?
89.2¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 19?

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
78¢
100¢

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?
83.7¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?
45¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
45.8¢
100¢

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
76.5¢
100¢

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 24?
87.3¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?
44.4¢
99.5¢

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?
76.1¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?
58.7¢
100¢

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23?