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icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

icon for # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

25–30M 100.0%

<15M <1%

15–20M <1%

20–25M <1%

Polymarket

$116,864 Vol.

25–30M 100.0%

<15M <1%

15–20M <1%

20–25M <1%

Polymarket

$116,864 Vol.

<15M

$6,156 Vol.

No

15–20M

$20,505 Vol.

No

20–25M

$37,547 Vol.

No

25–30M

$18,251 Vol.

Yes

30–35M

$12,328 Vol.

No

35–40M

$6,372 Vol.

No

40M+

$15,706 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's main channel has delivered day-one view totals consistently landing in the 25–30 million range on recent uploads, most notably the "I Got Hunted By 100 Real Cops" video that reached 27 million views within roughly 24 hours. This performance, paired with the creator's 514 million subscriber base and established release cadence, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for the 25–30M bracket at 100% implied probability. While MrBeast videos historically build massive lifetime totals through sustained promotion and algorithm amplification, initial surges have moderated compared with prior peaks, anchoring the narrow band. An unusually high-engagement concept, major celebrity crossover, or algorithmic boost could realistically push results above 30 million, whereas weaker thematic resonance or competing platform releases might cap totals lower.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$116,864
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast's main channel has delivered day-one view totals consistently landing in the 25–30 million range on recent uploads, most notably the "I Got Hunted By 100 Real Cops" video that reached 27 million views within roughly 24 hours. This performance, paired with the creator's 514 million subscriber base and established release cadence, has produced overwhelming trader consensus for the 25–30M bracket at 100% implied probability. While MrBeast videos historically build massive lifetime totals through sustained promotion and algorithm amplification, initial surges have moderated compared with prior peaks, anchoring the narrow band. An unusually high-engagement concept, major celebrity crossover, or algorithmic boost could realistically push results above 30 million, whereas weaker thematic resonance or competing platform releases might cap totals lower.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$116,864
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25–30M" at 100%, followed by "<15M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" has generated $116.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" is "25–30M" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<15M" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.