Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C daily high in Munich for August 21, 2026, driven by converging observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs from sources such as the German Weather Service. Current conditions, including a mix of cloud cover, light westerly winds, and surface temperatures approaching the upper teens to low 20s Celsius during peak heating hours, align with this outcome according to real-time station reports. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 23°C, providing context for the modest values observed. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of official resolution criteria, typically drawn from Munich Airport or equivalent meteorological stations. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-day measurement revision or localized station anomaly exceeding model guidance by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 21?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$114,624 Vol.
$114,624 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$114,624 Vol.
$114,624 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
No
15°C
$439 Vol.
No
16°C
$531 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,640 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,990 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,171 Vol.
No
20°C
$15,375 Vol.
No
21°C
$24,688 Vol.
No
22°C
$20,612 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$16,387 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$15,359 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C daily high in Munich for August 21, 2026, driven by converging observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs from sources such as the German Weather Service. Current conditions, including a mix of cloud cover, light westerly winds, and surface temperatures approaching the upper teens to low 20s Celsius during peak heating hours, align with this outcome according to real-time station reports. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 23°C, providing context for the modest values observed. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of official resolution criteria, typically drawn from Munich Airport or equivalent meteorological stations. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-day measurement revision or localized station anomaly exceeding model guidance by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$114,624End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C daily high in Munich for August 21, 2026, driven by converging observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs from sources such as the German Weather Service. Current conditions, including a mix of cloud cover, light westerly winds, and surface temperatures approaching the upper teens to low 20s Celsius during peak heating hours, align with this outcome according to real-time station reports. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 23°C, providing context for the modest values observed. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of official resolution criteria, typically drawn from Munich Airport or equivalent meteorological stations. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-day measurement revision or localized station anomaly exceeding model guidance by several degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$114,624End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 22°C daily high in Munich for August 21, 2026, driven by converging observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs from sources such as the German Weather Service. Current conditions, including a mix of cloud cover, light westerly winds, and surface temperatures approaching the upper teens to low 20s Celsius during peak heating hours, align with this outcome according to real-time station reports. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs near 23°C, providing context for the modest values observed. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of official resolution criteria, typically drawn from Munich Airport or equivalent meteorological stations. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-day measurement revision or localized station anomaly exceeding model guidance by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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