Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970 and all statewide offices held by the GOP, underpins the market's 96.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November general election. The August 18 primaries produced clear nominees—Republican U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement and over 60% of the vote against multiple challengers, and Democrat James Byrd—while independent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. This positioning reflects the state's partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical margins exceeding 40 points in similar contests. A major scandal, health event forcing withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter outcomes before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,723 Vol.
$16,723 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
3%
$16,723 Vol.
$16,723 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$11,081 Vol.
96%
Democrat
$5,642 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970 and all statewide offices held by the GOP, underpins the market's 96.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November general election. The August 18 primaries produced clear nominees—Republican U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement and over 60% of the vote against multiple challengers, and Democrat James Byrd—while independent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. This positioning reflects the state's partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical margins exceeding 40 points in similar contests. A major scandal, health event forcing withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter outcomes before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970 and all statewide offices held by the GOP, underpins the market's 96.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November general election. The August 18 primaries produced clear nominees—Republican U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement and over 60% of the vote against multiple challengers, and Democrat James Byrd—while independent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. This positioning reflects the state's partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical margins exceeding 40 points in similar contests. A major scandal, health event forcing withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter outcomes before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970 and all statewide offices held by the GOP, underpins the market's 96.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November general election. The August 18 primaries produced clear nominees—Republican U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who secured the nomination with Trump endorsement and over 60% of the vote against multiple challengers, and Democrat James Byrd—while independent ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. This positioning reflects the state's partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical margins exceeding 40 points in similar contests. A major scandal, health event forcing withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter outcomes before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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