President Trump’s 2026 schedule centers on multilateral summits and bilateral engagements amid ongoing trade, security, and conflict-resolution efforts. Scheduled events include a September state visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to the White House, a September trip to Ireland for meetings with Taoiseach Micheál Martin and business leaders, the November APEC summit in Shenzhen where Xi and potentially Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to attend, and the December G20 in Miami. Recent activity features bilateral meetings with leaders such as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at the July NATO summit in Ankara. These forums, alongside diplomatic channels addressing Ukraine, Iran, and U.S.-China relations, shape trader focus on likely high-profile encounters through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTrump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 75%9%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington with full ceremonial honors and discussed major arms and investment deals, reinforcing the likelihood of a 2026 meeting.
Trump announces plan to meet North Korea's Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 32%20%
President Trump publicly stated his intention to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving hopes for renewed diplomacy despite skepticism from North Korea. This announcement caused a temporary increase in market probability for a Trump-Kim meeting.
President Trump announces plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 32%20%
Trump publicly stated his intention to meet with Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their good personal relationship and signaling a possible revival of direct diplomacy, which influenced market expectations.
Trump announces plans to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 32%20%
President Donald Trump publicly stated his intention to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their personal rapport and signaling a potential revival of diplomacy. This announcement caused a notable increase in market probability for a Trump-Kim Jong Un meeting.
Donald Trump announces plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un plunges to 35%19%
Trump publicly stated his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, signaling a potential revival of personal diplomacy between the two leaders, which influenced market pricing for a Trump-Kim Jong Un meeting.
Trump holds 90-minute call with Putin, offers to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 49%14%
Trump engaged in a lengthy phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, offering assistance to end the Ukraine conflict, but no in-person meeting was confirmed, leading to fluctuating market confidence in a Trump-Putin meeting in 2026.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to seal major defense and investment deals
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 75%12%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, confirming major defense agreements including an anticipated F-35 sale and large-scale U.S. investments, reinforcing the strategic partnership and increasing market confidence in their meeting.
Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House to seal major defense and investment deals
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 74%11%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman to Washington, marking a new phase in U.S.-Saudi relations with announcements of F-35 sales and multi-billion-dollar investments, reinforcing market confidence in their meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%6%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, underscoring a close strategic partnership with major arms and investment agenda, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
MrBeast meets Donald Trump for casual lunch, sparking speculation
MrBeast dips to 11%3%
MrBeast and Donald Trump were seen having a casual lunch together, an unexpected encounter that briefly raised market interest in a potential meeting, though no political or formal meeting was confirmed.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI of Morocco officially named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and mutual respect, which increased market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting.
Trump expresses gratitude for 'Donald J. Trump Highway' named by King Mohammed VI
Donald Trump publicly thanked King Mohammed VI of Morocco for naming the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway,' highlighting the strong bilateral relations and signaling a likely meeting between the two leaders in 2026.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway' in July 2026, symbolizing strong Morocco-US ties and mutual respect, boosting market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting.
Trump holds 90-minute call with Putin offering to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin drops to 49%5%
President Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin for 90 minutes, offering assistance to resolve the Ukraine conflict, reflecting ongoing diplomatic engagement but no confirmed in-person meeting, affecting market sentiment for a Trump-Putin meeting.
Donald Trump holds 90-minute phone call with Vladimir Putin offering to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 38%5%
Trump's lengthy call with Putin, offering assistance to resolve the Ukraine conflict, demonstrated active engagement between the two leaders, affecting market expectations of a possible meeting in 2026.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan highway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway' in recognition of Trump's support for Moroccan sovereignty, symbolizing strong bilateral ties but not indicating a confirmed meeting, contributing to low market confidence.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the “Donald J. Trump Highway” as a symbol of deep mutual esteem and strong bilateral relations. This gesture highlighted the close ties between Trump and the Moroccan king, supporting market confidence in a meeting between them.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco officially named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual esteem, which increased market confidence in a meeting between the two leaders.
King Mohammed VI names Morocco’s Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, with Trump expressing gratitude and anticipation of visiting the highway, reflecting close ties but not a confirmed meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway' in recognition of Trump's support for Moroccan sovereignty, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and boosting market confidence in a meeting.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman for strategic talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 78%10%
President Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman at the White House in August 2026, discussing major defense deals including F-35 sales and large-scale investments, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
Russian President Vladimir Putin visits China for talks with Xi Jinping
Vladimir Putin jumps to 65%8%
Putin's visit to China shortly after Trump's visit reinforced Beijing's role as a global pivot and influenced market perceptions of Putin's diplomatic activity and potential meetings with Trump in 2026.
Donald Trump visits China and meets with President Xi Jinping
Trump's visit to China and meeting with Xi Jinping in May 2026 signaled ongoing high-level diplomatic engagement, indirectly affecting expectations for meetings with other leaders like Putin and impacting the market for related outcomes.
Lukashenko sets terms for potential meeting with Trump, emphasizing comprehensive 'big deal'
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' covering broad issues beyond sanctions relief is finalized, indicating ongoing diplomatic negotiations and influencing market expectations.
Belarusian President Lukashenko sets terms for meeting with Trump after 'big deal' preparation
Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' between Belarus and the US is finalized, indicating progress in diplomatic relations and supporting market expectations for a meeting.
Lukashenko says meeting with Trump possible once 'big deal' is ready
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' between the two countries is finalized, indicating ongoing diplomatic progress and sustaining market interest in a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Trump envoy negotiates release of political prisoners in Belarus, paving way for Trump-Lukashenko meeting
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 26%25%
Trump's envoy John Coale secured the release of 250 political prisoners from Belarus, improving diplomatic relations and leading to Trump expressing eagerness to meet Belarusian leader Aleksandr Lukashenko, impacting market expectations for their meeting.
Trump plans meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko after prisoner release
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 26%25%
Following the release of political prisoners in Belarus, Trump announced plans to meet with Lukashenko at an upcoming Peace Board session, signaling warming ties and increasing the likelihood of a meeting in 2026.
US envoy negotiates prisoner release with Belarusian leader Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 24%27%
Trump's envoy John Coale negotiated the release of 250 political prisoners with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, leading to improved diplomatic ties and plans for a Trump-Lukashenko meeting. This development increased market confidence in a meeting occurring in 2026.
US Special Envoy John Coale negotiates with Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko leading to prisoner releases
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 68%45%
Negotiations led by Trump's envoy John Coale with Lukashenko resulted in the release of political prisoners and set the stage for a potential Trump-Lukashenko meeting contingent on a 'big deal', influencing market expectations.
US envoy negotiates release of political prisoners in Belarus, paving way for Trump-Lukashenko meeting
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 65%45%
US envoy John Coale secured the release of 250 political prisoners from Belarus after talks with Lukashenko, improving diplomatic relations and increasing market confidence in a Trump meeting with Lukashenko.
Trump envoy negotiates release of political prisoners in Belarus, Lukashenko open to meeting Trump
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 23%28%
Trump's envoy John Coale negotiated the release of 250 political prisoners in Belarus, with Lukashenko expressing readiness to meet Trump once a 'big deal' is prepared. This diplomatic thaw increased market expectations for a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Trump reports 'very good call' with Putin on Ukraine and Middle East
Trump reported a positive phone call with Putin discussing Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, indicating ongoing communication but no confirmed in-person meeting, contributing to market uncertainty about a Trump-Putin meeting in 2026.
MrBeast's market probability dips amid lack of meeting news with Trump
MrBeast plunges to 11%16%
Despite some public interactions and rumors, there is no concrete evidence or announcement of a meeting between MrBeast and Donald Trump in 2026, leading to a decline in market probability for this outcome.
Trump expresses openness to meeting Kim Jong Un during Asia trip
Kim Jong Un plunges to 38%16%
During a Southeast Asia tour, Trump indicated willingness to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, reviving speculation about a 2026 meeting, though no concrete plans were confirmed, influencing market prices.
White House confirms Delcy Rodríguez to visit Washington soon
Delcy Rodríguez jumps to 39%9%
The White House confirmed plans for Delcy Rodríguez to visit Washington, indicating a potential meeting with Trump, which supported market price increases for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump holds productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump confirmed a long and productive phone conversation with Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting. This improved market sentiment for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Donald Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 17%34%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting, impacting the market's view on their potential encounter.
Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, and expressed openness to an in-person meeting, which increased market confidence in a Trump-Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump and Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's acting president, and expressed openness to an in-person meeting, which increased market confidence in a potential Trump-Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump and Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone call, meeting possible
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 30%21%
Trump confirmed a positive and productive phone conversation with Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodríguez, expressing openness to an in-person meeting, which increased market expectations for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump confirms productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump revealed a long and productive phone conversation with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodríguez, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting. This development influenced the market's low but present expectation of a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting.
Trump indicates possibility of meeting with Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
Donald Trump stated he may meet with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, highlighting improving relations and ongoing communication, which raised market expectations for a meeting in 2026.
Donald Trump confirms productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez and openness to meeting
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
Trump acknowledged a long, productive phone conversation with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, and expressed willingness to meet her, influencing market pricing for a potential meeting.
Donald Trump indicates possibility of meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump stated he might meet with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, highlighting ongoing communications and cooperation on energy and political matters, which influenced market sentiment for a potential meeting.
Trump indicates possible meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 30%21%
Trump publicly stated the possibility of meeting Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's acting president, reflecting warming relations and ongoing communications, which initially raised market expectations.
Trump indicates possible future meeting with Venezuela’s Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 15%36%
President Trump stated he might meet with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s acting president, highlighting ongoing diplomatic engagement and cooperation on energy and political issues, though no confirmed meeting date was set.
Trump says he may meet with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
President Donald Trump stated he might meet with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodríguez, highlighting ongoing communication and cooperation on energy and political issues, signaling a potential in-person meeting.
Trump signals possible meeting with Delcy Rodríguez amid Venezuela transition
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump indicated a potential meeting with Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, highlighting improving relations and cooperation on oil supplies, which lowered market uncertainty for this outcome.
President Donald Trump meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 70%16%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a significant diplomatic event with discussions on defense deals and regional diplomacy, boosting market confidence in their meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%14%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman with full ceremonial honors, discussing business, peace, AI, and defense deals including F-35 sales, signaling a strong US-Saudi partnership and raising the probability of their meeting in 2026.
Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 75%21%
President Trump welcomed Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with a ceremonial visit including military honors and formal meetings, marking a significant diplomatic engagement and signaling a strong U.S.-Saudi partnership. This event increased market confidence in a Trump-Mohammed bin Salman meeting in 2026.
Donald Trump meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 74%20%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a significant diplomatic engagement with major defense and investment deals announced, including F-35 sales and large-scale U.S. investments. This meeting increased market confidence in a Trump-Mohammed bin Salman meeting in 2026.
Trump hosts Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 72%18%
President Donald Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to the White House with a ceremonial event, discussing business, peace, and defense relations, signaling a strong diplomatic engagement between the two leaders.
President Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%14%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman with full ceremonial honors and announced major defense and investment deals, signaling a strong strategic partnership and increasing the likelihood of a meeting in 2026.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 79%25%
President Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with full ceremonial honors, marking a significant diplomatic event that reinforced US-Saudi ties and included major defense and investment deals. This high-profile meeting increased market confidence in a Trump-Mohammed bin Salman meeting in 2026.



















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