**Diplomatic efforts between the US, Russia, and Ukraine remain stalled at the bilateral and envoy level, with no trilateral meeting scheduled or imminent before the end of 2026.** President Trump has held separate calls and summits with Vladimir Putin (including the 2025 Alaska meeting) and Volodymyr Zelensky, while trilateral envoy talks occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026; however, these produced limited progress amid disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires. Putin has repeatedly declined direct formats involving Zelensky, and recent US attention has shifted toward the Iran conflict, further deprioritizing Ukraine diplomacy. With only months remaining until 2027 and no confirmed joint venue or agenda, traders assign a 94.5% probability against a Trump-Putin-Zelensky gathering occurring in time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
$43,607 Vol.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin, Zelenskyy, and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin, Zelenskyy, and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Diplomatic efforts between the US, Russia, and Ukraine remain stalled at the bilateral and envoy level, with no trilateral meeting scheduled or imminent before the end of 2026.** President Trump has held separate calls and summits with Vladimir Putin (including the 2025 Alaska meeting) and Volodymyr Zelensky, while trilateral envoy talks occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026; however, these produced limited progress amid disputes over territory, security guarantees, and ceasefires. Putin has repeatedly declined direct formats involving Zelensky, and recent US attention has shifted toward the Iran conflict, further deprioritizing Ukraine diplomacy. With only months remaining until 2027 and no confirmed joint venue or agenda, traders assign a 94.5% probability against a Trump-Putin-Zelensky gathering occurring in time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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