US statements on August 27 confirmed no active negotiations with Iran and a pivot toward intensified economic pressure, following the expiration of the June memorandum of understanding's 60-day window without a broader nuclear or sanctions accord. Qatar's prime minister traveled to Tehran that day for meetings aimed at reviving dialogue on Strait of Hormuz navigation and de-escalation, building on prior Omani and Pakistani mediation channels. These efforts occur against persistent disputes over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security issues, with both sides maintaining public positions that limit direct engagement. Any round of talks by August 31 would likely depend on rapid backchannel progress amid these constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$98,089 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Steve Witkoff
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Nick Stewart
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$98,089 Vol.
Abbas Araghchi
$9,311 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$14,151 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,307 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$959 Vol.
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,312 Vol.
2%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$311 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Steve Witkoff
$13,702 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,782 Vol.
1%
Ishaq Dar
$2,930 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$50 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,405 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,782 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$1,146 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$864 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$7,171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US statements on August 27 confirmed no active negotiations with Iran and a pivot toward intensified economic pressure, following the expiration of the June memorandum of understanding's 60-day window without a broader nuclear or sanctions accord. Qatar's prime minister traveled to Tehran that day for meetings aimed at reviving dialogue on Strait of Hormuz navigation and de-escalation, building on prior Omani and Pakistani mediation channels. These efforts occur against persistent disputes over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security issues, with both sides maintaining public positions that limit direct engagement. Any round of talks by August 31 would likely depend on rapid backchannel progress amid these constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$98,089End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US statements on August 27 confirmed no active negotiations with Iran and a pivot toward intensified economic pressure, following the expiration of the June memorandum of understanding's 60-day window without a broader nuclear or sanctions accord. Qatar's prime minister traveled to Tehran that day for meetings aimed at reviving dialogue on Strait of Hormuz navigation and de-escalation, building on prior Omani and Pakistani mediation channels. These efforts occur against persistent disputes over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security issues, with both sides maintaining public positions that limit direct engagement. Any round of talks by August 31 would likely depend on rapid backchannel progress amid these constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$98,089End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US statements on August 27 confirmed no active negotiations with Iran and a pivot toward intensified economic pressure, following the expiration of the June memorandum of understanding's 60-day window without a broader nuclear or sanctions accord. Qatar's prime minister traveled to Tehran that day for meetings aimed at reviving dialogue on Strait of Hormuz navigation and de-escalation, building on prior Omani and Pakistani mediation channels. These efforts occur against persistent disputes over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and regional security issues, with both sides maintaining public positions that limit direct engagement. Any round of talks by August 31 would likely depend on rapid backchannel progress amid these constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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