Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-escalation following the 2025-2026 conflict and prior ceasefires. As of mid-August 2026, Iran publicly denies plans for direct talks with Washington and emphasizes only Hormuz discussions with Oman, while President Trump asserts that negotiations continue regardless and has framed recent windows as a final opportunity before further measures. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable high-level round with named US or Iranian officials will occur by the August 31 deadline amid hardening positions and reliance on third-party channels. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled bilateral sessions have been confirmed in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$96,119 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
4%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Abbas Araghchi
2%
Jared Kushner
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
2%
Steve Witkoff
2%
Ishaq Dar
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$96,119 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
4%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
2%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 Vol.
2%
Jared Kushner
$14,141 Vol.
2%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,245 Vol.
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 Vol.
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 Vol.
2%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,231 Vol.
2%
Steve Witkoff
$13,640 Vol.
2%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$7,698 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$6,676 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$650 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$692 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-escalation following the 2025-2026 conflict and prior ceasefires. As of mid-August 2026, Iran publicly denies plans for direct talks with Washington and emphasizes only Hormuz discussions with Oman, while President Trump asserts that negotiations continue regardless and has framed recent windows as a final opportunity before further measures. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable high-level round with named US or Iranian officials will occur by the August 31 deadline amid hardening positions and reliance on third-party channels. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled bilateral sessions have been confirmed in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,119End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-escalation following the 2025-2026 conflict and prior ceasefires. As of mid-August 2026, Iran publicly denies plans for direct talks with Washington and emphasizes only Hormuz discussions with Oman, while President Trump asserts that negotiations continue regardless and has framed recent windows as a final opportunity before further measures. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable high-level round with named US or Iranian officials will occur by the August 31 deadline amid hardening positions and reliance on third-party channels. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled bilateral sessions have been confirmed in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$96,119End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and de-escalation following the 2025-2026 conflict and prior ceasefires. As of mid-August 2026, Iran publicly denies plans for direct talks with Washington and emphasizes only Hormuz discussions with Oman, while President Trump asserts that negotiations continue regardless and has framed recent windows as a final opportunity before further measures. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over whether a verifiable high-level round with named US or Iranian officials will occur by the August 31 deadline amid hardening positions and reliance on third-party channels. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled bilateral sessions have been confirmed in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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