Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, have framed recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy as limited to a June 2026 memorandum of understanding rather than a comprehensive nuclear agreement. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, Congress holds oversight authority, yet Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any accord permitting continued uranium enrichment without full dismantlement, missile curbs, and terrorism-related concessions. Bipartisan war powers resolutions in the Senate and House have further highlighted legislative pushback against executive actions. With the 60-day negotiation window now elapsed amid persistent partisan demands and no confirmed path to legislative approval, traders see negligible prospects for Congress endorsing a finalized deal before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
8% chance
$12,421 Vol.
$12,421 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% chance
$12,421 Vol.
$12,421 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, have framed recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy as limited to a June 2026 memorandum of understanding rather than a comprehensive nuclear agreement. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, Congress holds oversight authority, yet Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any accord permitting continued uranium enrichment without full dismantlement, missile curbs, and terrorism-related concessions. Bipartisan war powers resolutions in the Senate and House have further highlighted legislative pushback against executive actions. With the 60-day negotiation window now elapsed amid persistent partisan demands and no confirmed path to legislative approval, traders see negligible prospects for Congress endorsing a finalized deal before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,421End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, have framed recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy as limited to a June 2026 memorandum of understanding rather than a comprehensive nuclear agreement. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, Congress holds oversight authority, yet Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any accord permitting continued uranium enrichment without full dismantlement, missile curbs, and terrorism-related concessions. Bipartisan war powers resolutions in the Senate and House have further highlighted legislative pushback against executive actions. With the 60-day negotiation window now elapsed amid persistent partisan demands and no confirmed path to legislative approval, traders see negligible prospects for Congress endorsing a finalized deal before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,421End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional conflicts, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, have framed recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy as limited to a June 2026 memorandum of understanding rather than a comprehensive nuclear agreement. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, Congress holds oversight authority, yet Republican senators have signaled strong resistance to any accord permitting continued uranium enrichment without full dismantlement, missile curbs, and terrorism-related concessions. Bipartisan war powers resolutions in the Senate and House have further highlighted legislative pushback against executive actions. With the 60-day negotiation window now elapsed amid persistent partisan demands and no confirmed path to legislative approval, traders see negligible prospects for Congress endorsing a finalized deal before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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