Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 since mid-February, logging a record-tying 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through the August 29 chart and becoming the longest-running country crossover leader by a woman. This prolonged hold has shaped trader views on frontrunners while ten artists overall have reached the summit in 2026, including Taylor Swift with three No. 1s (most recently “I Knew It, I Knew You” from the Toy Story 5 soundtrack), plus Bruno Mars, Drake, Ariana Grande, Olivia Rodrigo, BTS, Bad Bunny, Harry Styles, and a holiday return for Mariah Carey. With four months remaining, new album cycles from major acts, holiday airplay surges, and potential late-year breakthroughs could expand the list of artists who top the chart before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
$165,797 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Mariah Carey
83%
Peso Pluma
51%
Kendrick Lamar
45%
Playboi Carti
23%
Sabrina Carpenter
29%
Billie Eilish
23%
Post Malone
23%
Doja Cat
12%
Tyler, The Creator
14%
SZA
13%
Travis Scott
12%
Luke Combs
11%
Frank Ocean
11%
Future
7%
A$AP Rocky
6%
Rihanna
6%
Jack Harlow
11%
Lil Baby
3%
Ed Sheeran
3%
Kanye West
3%
Zach Bryan
3%
The Weeknd
38%
Morgan Wallen
55%
$165,797 Vol.
Mariah Carey
$2,939 Vol.
83%
Peso Pluma
$0 Vol.
51%
Kendrick Lamar
$4,741 Vol.
45%
Playboi Carti
$7,885 Vol.
23%
Sabrina Carpenter
$492 Vol.
29%
Billie Eilish
$40,680 Vol.
23%
Post Malone
$357 Vol.
23%
Doja Cat
$11,084 Vol.
12%
Tyler, The Creator
$589 Vol.
14%
SZA
$570 Vol.
13%
Travis Scott
$5,467 Vol.
12%
Luke Combs
$2,940 Vol.
11%
Frank Ocean
$9,061 Vol.
11%
Future
$6,996 Vol.
7%
A$AP Rocky
$2,067 Vol.
6%
Rihanna
$1,177 Vol.
6%
Jack Harlow
$9,009 Vol.
11%
Lil Baby
$1,012 Vol.
3%
Ed Sheeran
$674 Vol.
3%
Kanye West
$866 Vol.
3%
Zach Bryan
$1,011 Vol.
3%
The Weeknd
$5,224 Vol.
38%
Morgan Wallen
$352 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 since mid-February, logging a record-tying 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through the August 29 chart and becoming the longest-running country crossover leader by a woman. This prolonged hold has shaped trader views on frontrunners while ten artists overall have reached the summit in 2026, including Taylor Swift with three No. 1s (most recently “I Knew It, I Knew You” from the Toy Story 5 soundtrack), plus Bruno Mars, Drake, Ariana Grande, Olivia Rodrigo, BTS, Bad Bunny, Harry Styles, and a holiday return for Mariah Carey. With four months remaining, new album cycles from major acts, holiday airplay surges, and potential late-year breakthroughs could expand the list of artists who top the chart before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$165,797End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 since mid-February, logging a record-tying 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through the August 29 chart and becoming the longest-running country crossover leader by a woman. This prolonged hold has shaped trader views on frontrunners while ten artists overall have reached the summit in 2026, including Taylor Swift with three No. 1s (most recently “I Knew It, I Knew You” from the Toy Story 5 soundtrack), plus Bruno Mars, Drake, Ariana Grande, Olivia Rodrigo, BTS, Bad Bunny, Harry Styles, and a holiday return for Mariah Carey. With four months remaining, new album cycles from major acts, holiday airplay surges, and potential late-year breakthroughs could expand the list of artists who top the chart before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$165,797End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the Billboard Hot 100 since mid-February, logging a record-tying 19 non-consecutive weeks at No. 1 through the August 29 chart and becoming the longest-running country crossover leader by a woman. This prolonged hold has shaped trader views on frontrunners while ten artists overall have reached the summit in 2026, including Taylor Swift with three No. 1s (most recently “I Knew It, I Knew You” from the Toy Story 5 soundtrack), plus Bruno Mars, Drake, Ariana Grande, Olivia Rodrigo, BTS, Bad Bunny, Harry Styles, and a holiday return for Mariah Carey. With four months remaining, new album cycles from major acts, holiday airplay surges, and potential late-year breakthroughs could expand the list of artists who top the chart before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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