Skip to main content
icon for What will Trump say in August?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in August?

icon for What will Trump say in August?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in August?

Aug 31

Aug 31

$70,362 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$70,362 Vol.

Polymarket

Red Card

$476 Vol.

21%

Death to America

$422 Vol.

51%

Sucker

$1,607 Vol.

26%

Garbage

$9 Vol.

49%

Let Me Finish

$1,270 Vol.

32%

Potato

$234 Vol.

46%

Tango

$604 Vol.

20%

Central Casting

$6,848 Vol.

28%

Antifa

$3,466 Vol.

9%

Cocaine

$416 Vol.

31%

Movie Star

$0 Vol.

50%

Green New Scam

$317 Vol.

52%

State of the Art

$487 Vol.

13%

Soaking Wet

$11,908 Vol.

13%

Presidential Walk of Fame

$420 Vol.

33%

Epstein

$494 Vol.

7%

Moscow

$3,279 Vol.

10%

Thomas Jefferson

$464 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump’s second-term schedule of public remarks, executive order signings, cabinet meetings, and press interactions continues to shape trader assessments for the August mention market. Early-month actions on birthright citizenship, birth tourism, childhood vaccine spacing, and domestic manufacturing have aligned with recurring themes of immigration enforcement and economic priorities, while trade tensions with Canada and economic pressure on Iran have prompted commentary on tariffs and sanctions. Scheduled events through month-end, including potential roundtables and appearances tied to infrastructure or foreign policy, create additional platforms for unscripted statements. Traders weigh these catalysts against historical patterns of term usage in similar policy contexts when evaluating specific outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$70,362
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfPresident Trump’s second-term schedule of public remarks, executive order signings, cabinet meetings, and press interactions continues to shape trader assessments for the August mention market. Early-month actions on birthright citizenship, birth tourism, childhood vaccine spacing, and domestic manufacturing have aligned with recurring themes of immigration enforcement and economic priorities, while trade tensions with Canada and economic pressure on Iran have prompted commentary on tariffs and sanctions. Scheduled events through month-end, including potential roundtables and appearances tied to infrastructure or foreign policy, create additional platforms for unscripted statements. Traders weigh these catalysts against historical patterns of term usage in similar policy contexts when evaluating specific outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$70,362
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Related

icon for Will Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in August?

Will Trump say "Trump Kennedy Center" or "Trump-Kennedy Center" in August?

51%
icon for Will Trump say "Mars" in August?

Will Trump say "Mars" in August?

72%
icon for Will Trump say "America First" this week?

Will Trump say "America First" this week?

100%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ass" at 100%, followed by "Shit" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in August?" has generated $70.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in August?," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in August?" is "Ass" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shit" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.