Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received about 11 percent, setting up a November general election in the state's most reliably Democratic congressional district. The Seattle-centered WA-07 has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential result and multiple election ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jayapal's substantial fundraising edge and established position further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-07 House Election Winner
WA-07 House Election Winner
$34,392 Vol.
$34,392 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$34,392 Vol.
$34,392 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,591 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$22,800 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received about 11 percent, setting up a November general election in the state's most reliably Democratic congressional district. The Seattle-centered WA-07 has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential result and multiple election ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jayapal's substantial fundraising edge and established position further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$34,392End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received about 11 percent, setting up a November general election in the state's most reliably Democratic congressional district. The Seattle-centered WA-07 has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential result and multiple election ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jayapal's substantial fundraising edge and established position further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,392End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal advanced from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who received about 11 percent, setting up a November general election in the state's most reliably Democratic congressional district. The Seattle-centered WA-07 has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates, reflected in the 2024 presidential result and multiple election ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Jayapal's substantial fundraising edge and established position further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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