**US Treasury officials launched Operation Economic Outcast on August 24, 2026, imposing fresh sanctions on more than 60 entities, individuals, and vessels while issuing sectoral determinations that expand secondary sanctions exposure across digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping.** These measures target Iran’s oil revenue networks, sanctions evasion, and support for the IRGC amid an ongoing conflict nearing its six-month mark. The Treasury previewed additional enforcement actions, including sanctions on a major financial institution, by the end of the week, with defined compliance timelines issued to trading partners. Trader consensus at 100% for new sanctions by Monday reflects the confirmed start of this campaign and the rapid follow-through expected under existing executive authorities. Late adjustments remain possible only through an abrupt policy reversal or unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough before the resolution window closes, though no such signals have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
$35,010 Vol.
$35,010 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
>99% chance
$35,010 Vol.
$35,010 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between market creation and August 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**US Treasury officials launched Operation Economic Outcast on August 24, 2026, imposing fresh sanctions on more than 60 entities, individuals, and vessels while issuing sectoral determinations that expand secondary sanctions exposure across digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping.**
These measures target Iran’s oil revenue networks, sanctions evasion, and support for the IRGC amid an ongoing conflict nearing its six-month mark. The Treasury previewed additional enforcement actions, including sanctions on a major financial institution, by the end of the week, with defined compliance timelines issued to trading partners.
Trader consensus at 100% for new sanctions by Monday reflects the confirmed start of this campaign and the rapid follow-through expected under existing executive authorities. Late adjustments remain possible only through an abrupt policy reversal or unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough before the resolution window closes, though no such signals have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between market creation and August 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volume
$35,010End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between market creation and August 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**US Treasury officials launched Operation Economic Outcast on August 24, 2026, imposing fresh sanctions on more than 60 entities, individuals, and vessels while issuing sectoral determinations that expand secondary sanctions exposure across digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping.**
These measures target Iran’s oil revenue networks, sanctions evasion, and support for the IRGC amid an ongoing conflict nearing its six-month mark. The Treasury previewed additional enforcement actions, including sanctions on a major financial institution, by the end of the week, with defined compliance timelines issued to trading partners.
Trader consensus at 100% for new sanctions by Monday reflects the confirmed start of this campaign and the rapid follow-through expected under existing executive authorities. Late adjustments remain possible only through an abrupt policy reversal or unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough before the resolution window closes, though no such signals have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between market creation and August 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,010End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**US Treasury officials launched Operation Economic Outcast on August 24, 2026, imposing fresh sanctions on more than 60 entities, individuals, and vessels while issuing sectoral determinations that expand secondary sanctions exposure across digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping.** These measures target Iran’s oil revenue networks, sanctions evasion, and support for the IRGC amid an ongoing conflict nearing its six-month mark. The Treasury previewed additional enforcement actions, including sanctions on a major financial institution, by the end of the week, with defined compliance timelines issued to trading partners. Trader consensus at 100% for new sanctions by Monday reflects the confirmed start of this campaign and the rapid follow-through expected under existing executive authorities. Late adjustments remain possible only through an abrupt policy reversal or unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough before the resolution window closes, though no such signals have emerged.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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