Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendum features four distinct proposals requiring voter approval under the country's direct democracy rules, which typically demand a popular majority and, for constitutional changes, a cantonal majority. Key items include a federal decree raising VAT to fund AVS pension insurance, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another seeking to end tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the War Material Act. Recent votes, such as the June rejection of the population cap initiative and polling against the September neutrality measure, highlight voter caution toward restrictive or far-reaching changes. Government recommendations, party endorsements, and turnout patterns will shape outcomes, with traders monitoring any emerging surveys or campaign developments ahead of the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVAT federal decree
53%
Fireworks restriction initiative
23%
Marriage taxation initiative
30%
War Material amendment
66%
$4,971 Vol.
VAT federal decree
53%
Fireworks restriction initiative
23%
Marriage taxation initiative
30%
War Material amendment
66%
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendum features four distinct proposals requiring voter approval under the country's direct democracy rules, which typically demand a popular majority and, for constitutional changes, a cantonal majority. Key items include a federal decree raising VAT to fund AVS pension insurance, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another seeking to end tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the War Material Act. Recent votes, such as the June rejection of the population cap initiative and polling against the September neutrality measure, highlight voter caution toward restrictive or far-reaching changes. Government recommendations, party endorsements, and turnout patterns will shape outcomes, with traders monitoring any emerging surveys or campaign developments ahead of the ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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