The 28 rushing touchdowns LaDainian Tomlinson posted in 2006 remains the longstanding benchmark, and recent seasons have seen no running back exceed 18. Entering 2026, projected leaders such as Jahmyr Gibbs, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry, Bijan Robinson, and James Cook are expected to finish in the low-to-mid teens based on workload, offensive line strength, and committee usage across their respective teams. This creates balance around the 53.5% “No” price because a single workhorse back in a run-heavy scheme with favorable red-zone opportunities could post an outlier total, while shared carries, injury risk, and pass-oriented schemes make 29 touchdowns a steep climb. Recent form from Taylor’s 18-score 2025 campaign and Gibbs’ rising volume illustrate the narrow path, yet sustained health through 17 games and minimal competition inside the five-yard line would be required to shift sentiment meaningfully toward the record.