The 50% implied probability captures the narrow gap between modern passing volume in a 17-game schedule and the persistent barriers to eclipsing Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard benchmark. Elite wideouts such as Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Ja’Marr Chase enter the 2026 season with high target shares, strong quarterback play, and favorable offensive schemes that have produced recent totals near 1,700–1,800 yards. Yet 2025 projections and historical patterns show most leaders finishing well short due to defensive attention, minor injuries, and late-season script changes. Sustained health for a volume leader paired with an aggressive passing attack could shift consensus toward yes, while tighter coverage schemes or quarterback inconsistency would reinforce the record’s durability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability captures the narrow gap between modern passing volume in a 17-game schedule and the persistent barriers to eclipsing Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard benchmark. Elite wideouts such as Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Ja’Marr Chase enter the 2026 season with high target shares, strong quarterback play, and favorable offensive schemes that have produced recent totals near 1,700–1,800 yards. Yet 2025 projections and historical patterns show most leaders finishing well short due to defensive attention, minor injuries, and late-season script changes. Sustained health for a volume leader paired with an aggressive passing attack could shift consensus toward yes, while tighter coverage schemes or quarterback inconsistency would reinforce the record’s durability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability captures the narrow gap between modern passing volume in a 17-game schedule and the persistent barriers to eclipsing Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard benchmark. Elite wideouts such as Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Ja’Marr Chase enter the 2026 season with high target shares, strong quarterback play, and favorable offensive schemes that have produced recent totals near 1,700–1,800 yards. Yet 2025 projections and historical patterns show most leaders finishing well short due to defensive attention, minor injuries, and late-season script changes. Sustained health for a volume leader paired with an aggressive passing attack could shift consensus toward yes, while tighter coverage schemes or quarterback inconsistency would reinforce the record’s durability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability captures the narrow gap between modern passing volume in a 17-game schedule and the persistent barriers to eclipsing Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard benchmark. Elite wideouts such as Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Ja’Marr Chase enter the 2026 season with high target shares, strong quarterback play, and favorable offensive schemes that have produced recent totals near 1,700–1,800 yards. Yet 2025 projections and historical patterns show most leaders finishing well short due to defensive attention, minor injuries, and late-season script changes. Sustained health for a volume leader paired with an aggressive passing attack could shift consensus toward yes, while tighter coverage schemes or quarterback inconsistency would reinforce the record’s durability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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