Maxx Crosby’s dominant 95% implied probability of remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders stems from his March 2025 three-year, $106.5 million extension that runs through 2029 with substantial guarantees, plus his public reaffirmation of loyalty after an offseason trade to the Baltimore Ravens collapsed over knee medical concerns. Raiders officials, including GM John Spytek and coach Klint Kubiak, have stated expectations that the edge rusher will stay and lead the defense in 2026, while Crosby has described himself as committed to the organization following training camp. Speculation around the Dallas Cowboys and others reflects earlier trade interest that has cooled, with owner Jerry Jones indicating little appetite to revisit. Realistic shifts could occur only if the Raiders post another poor record and receive a premium offer of multiple first-round picks before the trade deadline, though current roster plans and Crosby’s health updates point against an imminent move.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 95.0%
Dallas Cowboys 8.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
San Francisco 49ers <1%
$6,348,212 Vol.
$6,348,212 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Dallas Cowboys
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 95.0%
Dallas Cowboys 8.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
San Francisco 49ers <1%
$6,348,212 Vol.
$6,348,212 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Dallas Cowboys
8%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxx Crosby’s dominant 95% implied probability of remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders stems from his March 2025 three-year, $106.5 million extension that runs through 2029 with substantial guarantees, plus his public reaffirmation of loyalty after an offseason trade to the Baltimore Ravens collapsed over knee medical concerns. Raiders officials, including GM John Spytek and coach Klint Kubiak, have stated expectations that the edge rusher will stay and lead the defense in 2026, while Crosby has described himself as committed to the organization following training camp. Speculation around the Dallas Cowboys and others reflects earlier trade interest that has cooled, with owner Jerry Jones indicating little appetite to revisit. Realistic shifts could occur only if the Raiders post another poor record and receive a premium offer of multiple first-round picks before the trade deadline, though current roster plans and Crosby’s health updates point against an imminent move.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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