Josh Allen's sustained dual-threat production and five-year track record of top-three fantasy finishes per game anchor consensus rankings for the 2026 season, ahead of Lamar Jackson's high-upside rushing profile coming off an injury-limited campaign. Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels follow closely in most expert tiers due to their mobility and improving supporting casts, while Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and Caleb Williams occupy the next group based on passing volume and offensive line health. Recent preseason ADP and projections reflect emphasis on rushing touchdowns and efficiency over pure passing yards, with scheme familiarity and bye-week timing also shaping tiers. Late training-camp developments, depth-chart clarity, and any lingering injury updates remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities for top-12 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Allen
85%
Lamar Jackson
85%
Drake Maye
80%
Joe Burrow
80%
Jalen Hurts
74%
Justin Herbert
56%
Tua Tagovailoa
51%
Marcus Mariota
51%
Bryce Young
51%
Geno Smith
51%
Jaxson Dart
51%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Carson Beck
50%
Justin Fields
50%
Joe Flacco
50%
Mac Jones
50%
Jameis Winston
50%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
50%
Tyson Bagent
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Cam Ward
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Ty Simpson
50%
Jake Browning
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Jarrett Stidham
11%
Nick Mullens
11%
Sam Howell
8%
Tommy DeVito
8%
$0.00 Vol.
Josh Allen
85%
Lamar Jackson
85%
Drake Maye
80%
Joe Burrow
80%
Jalen Hurts
74%
Justin Herbert
56%
Tua Tagovailoa
51%
Marcus Mariota
51%
Bryce Young
51%
Geno Smith
51%
Jaxson Dart
51%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Carson Beck
50%
Justin Fields
50%
Joe Flacco
50%
Mac Jones
50%
Jameis Winston
50%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
50%
Tyson Bagent
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Cam Ward
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Ty Simpson
50%
Jake Browning
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Jarrett Stidham
11%
Nick Mullens
11%
Sam Howell
8%
Tommy DeVito
8%
Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 quarterbacks are classified as top 12.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 quarterbacks are classified as top 12.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Resolution Source
https://www.espn.com/fantasy/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Josh Allen's sustained dual-threat production and five-year track record of top-three fantasy finishes per game anchor consensus rankings for the 2026 season, ahead of Lamar Jackson's high-upside rushing profile coming off an injury-limited campaign. Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels follow closely in most expert tiers due to their mobility and improving supporting casts, while Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, and Caleb Williams occupy the next group based on passing volume and offensive line health. Recent preseason ADP and projections reflect emphasis on rushing touchdowns and efficiency over pure passing yards, with scheme familiarity and bye-week timing also shaping tiers. Late training-camp developments, depth-chart clarity, and any lingering injury updates remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities for top-12 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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