Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and surrounding areas in Cuyahoga County, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured the nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or tilt Democratic, consistent with trader consensus showing the party holding a commanding position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominees have struggled to mount competitive campaigns in this urban district. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,383 Vol.
$38,383 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$38,383 Vol.
$38,383 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$22,754 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and surrounding areas in Cuyahoga County, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured the nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or tilt Democratic, consistent with trader consensus showing the party holding a commanding position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominees have struggled to mount competitive campaigns in this urban district. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,383End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and surrounding areas in Cuyahoga County, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured the nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or tilt Democratic, consistent with trader consensus showing the party holding a commanding position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominees have struggled to mount competitive campaigns in this urban district. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,383End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district, encompassing Cleveland and surrounding areas in Cuyahoga County, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Shontel Brown secured the nomination with over 85 percent in the May 2026 primary, facing limited intra-party opposition. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or tilt Democratic, consistent with trader consensus showing the party holding a commanding position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominees have struggled to mount competitive campaigns in this urban district. A major scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without extraordinary developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions