Yvette Clarke’s decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary, where she captured nearly 69 percent of the vote against two challengers, has solidified Democratic control of New York’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November general election. The Brooklyn- and Queens-based seat carries a long-standing Democratic tilt, reflected in Clarke’s repeated double-digit victories and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Her opponent, Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but has shown minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent aligns with the district’s partisan composition, historical margins, and absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$56,107 Vol.
$56,107 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$56,107 Vol.
$56,107 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,432 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$36,675 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke’s decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary, where she captured nearly 69 percent of the vote against two challengers, has solidified Democratic control of New York’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November general election. The Brooklyn- and Queens-based seat carries a long-standing Democratic tilt, reflected in Clarke’s repeated double-digit victories and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Her opponent, Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but has shown minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent aligns with the district’s partisan composition, historical margins, and absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$56,107End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke’s decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary, where she captured nearly 69 percent of the vote against two challengers, has solidified Democratic control of New York’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November general election. The Brooklyn- and Queens-based seat carries a long-standing Democratic tilt, reflected in Clarke’s repeated double-digit victories and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Her opponent, Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but has shown minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent aligns with the district’s partisan composition, historical margins, and absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,107End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke’s decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary, where she captured nearly 69 percent of the vote against two challengers, has solidified Democratic control of New York’s 9th congressional district ahead of the November general election. The Brooklyn- and Queens-based seat carries a long-standing Democratic tilt, reflected in Clarke’s repeated double-digit victories and consistent “Solid Democratic” ratings from forecasters. Her opponent, Republican Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but has shown minimal fundraising or visibility. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent aligns with the district’s partisan composition, historical margins, and absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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