Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured a decisive victory in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri’s 7th congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig in the November general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95%. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, driven by limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandals, or unusually high opposition turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-07 House Election Winner
MO-07 House Election Winner
$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$23,359 Vol.
$23,359 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$17,012 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$6,347 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured a decisive victory in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri’s 7th congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig in the November general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95%. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, driven by limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandals, or unusually high opposition turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$23,359End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured a decisive victory in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri’s 7th congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig in the November general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95%. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, driven by limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandals, or unusually high opposition turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,359End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison secured a decisive victory in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri’s 7th congressional district, advancing to face Democrat Missi Hesketh and Libertarian Kevin Craig in the November general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95%. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, driven by limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandals, or unusually high opposition turnout, though the district’s structural advantages make such outcomes improbable based on historical patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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