Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive swing seat with an even partisan voter index, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence. The district's toss-up or lean-Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ reflect its status as a key battleground, with traders pricing in modest Democratic advantages amid midterm dynamics and the recent August 4 primary outcome that clarified Lawrence as the challenger after he prevailed over rivals including Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Fundraising, candidate contrasts, and turnout patterns in counties around Lansing continue to shape assessments of the November 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,484 Vol.
$17,484 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
38%
$17,484 Vol.
$17,484 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,931 Vol.
61%
Republican Party
$5,553 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive swing seat with an even partisan voter index, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence. The district's toss-up or lean-Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ reflect its status as a key battleground, with traders pricing in modest Democratic advantages amid midterm dynamics and the recent August 4 primary outcome that clarified Lawrence as the challenger after he prevailed over rivals including Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Fundraising, candidate contrasts, and turnout patterns in counties around Lansing continue to shape assessments of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,484End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive swing seat with an even partisan voter index, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence. The district's toss-up or lean-Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ reflect its status as a key battleground, with traders pricing in modest Democratic advantages amid midterm dynamics and the recent August 4 primary outcome that clarified Lawrence as the challenger after he prevailed over rivals including Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Fundraising, candidate contrasts, and turnout patterns in counties around Lansing continue to shape assessments of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,484End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as a competitive swing seat with an even partisan voter index, where incumbent Republican Tom Barrett seeks a second term against Democratic nominee William Lawrence. The district's toss-up or lean-Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ reflect its status as a key battleground, with traders pricing in modest Democratic advantages amid midterm dynamics and the recent August 4 primary outcome that clarified Lawrence as the challenger after he prevailed over rivals including Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Fundraising, candidate contrasts, and turnout patterns in counties around Lansing continue to shape assessments of the November 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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