Recent polling from Quaest shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly between 9-11%, leaving high undecideds and room for shifts in second-place positioning. Voters select two senators, amplifying competition for the runner-up slot amid established alliances such as Sarney alongside Rocha on one major chapa and Fufuca's separate backing. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins, legal scrutiny around Rocha's candidacy eligibility, and the limited time remaining before October 4 voting. Further surveys, formal convention outcomes, or resolution of pending challenges could widen gaps among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Roseana Sarney 13%
Eliziane Gama 10.6%
$28,025 Vol.
$28,025 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
27%
Weverton Rocha
26%
Roseana Sarney
13%
Eliziane Gama
11%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Raimundo Moreira
2%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Fufuca 27%
Weverton Rocha 26%
Roseana Sarney 13%
Eliziane Gama 10.6%
$28,025 Vol.
$28,025 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fufuca
$5,006 Vol.
27%
Weverton Rocha
$10,305 Vol.
26%
Roseana Sarney
$7,142 Vol.
13%
Eliziane Gama
$1,302 Vol.
11%
Lahesio Bonfim
$1,405 Vol.
10%
Enilton Rodrigues
$483 Vol.
4%
Raimundo Moreira
$431 Vol.
2%
Wilson Leite
$443 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$423 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$568 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly between 9-11%, leaving high undecideds and room for shifts in second-place positioning. Voters select two senators, amplifying competition for the runner-up slot amid established alliances such as Sarney alongside Rocha on one major chapa and Fufuca's separate backing. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins, legal scrutiny around Rocha's candidacy eligibility, and the limited time remaining before October 4 voting. Further surveys, formal convention outcomes, or resolution of pending challenges could widen gaps among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$28,025End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly between 9-11%, leaving high undecideds and room for shifts in second-place positioning. Voters select two senators, amplifying competition for the runner-up slot amid established alliances such as Sarney alongside Rocha on one major chapa and Fufuca's separate backing. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins, legal scrutiny around Rocha's candidacy eligibility, and the limited time remaining before October 4 voting. Further surveys, formal convention outcomes, or resolution of pending challenges could widen gaps among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,025End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest shows a fragmented Maranhão Senate race, with Roseana Sarney (MDB) at 16% overall while Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and Eliziane Gama (PT) cluster tightly between 9-11%, leaving high undecideds and room for shifts in second-place positioning. Voters select two senators, amplifying competition for the runner-up slot amid established alliances such as Sarney alongside Rocha on one major chapa and Fufuca's separate backing. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins, legal scrutiny around Rocha's candidacy eligibility, and the limited time remaining before October 4 voting. Further surveys, formal convention outcomes, or resolution of pending challenges could widen gaps among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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