Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in power since 2005 without facing voters since his original term expired in 2009, has faced sustained domestic pressure to step aside, with polls showing roughly 80% of Palestinians wanting his resignation. In October 2025 he formalized interim succession rules designating deputy Hussein al-Sheikh to serve up to 90 days pending elections if the presidency becomes vacant. July 2026 decrees scheduled legislative elections for November 28, 2026, and presidential voting for early 2027, while Fatah internal moves have elevated Abbas’s son and reinforced al-Sheikh’s position. These steps, alongside rival polling strength for figures such as Marwan Barghouti and ongoing Fatah-Hamas divisions, shape trader assessments of the timing of any leadership transition through resignation, health events, or electoral outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$142,162 Vol.
December 31
13%
$142,162 Vol.
December 31
13%
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in power since 2005 without facing voters since his original term expired in 2009, has faced sustained domestic pressure to step aside, with polls showing roughly 80% of Palestinians wanting his resignation. In October 2025 he formalized interim succession rules designating deputy Hussein al-Sheikh to serve up to 90 days pending elections if the presidency becomes vacant. July 2026 decrees scheduled legislative elections for November 28, 2026, and presidential voting for early 2027, while Fatah internal moves have elevated Abbas’s son and reinforced al-Sheikh’s position. These steps, alongside rival polling strength for figures such as Marwan Barghouti and ongoing Fatah-Hamas divisions, shape trader assessments of the timing of any leadership transition through resignation, health events, or electoral outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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