Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly blue seat covering central Massachusetts including Worcester. His consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, combined with no Republican primary candidates filing and multiple forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic, underpin the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district’s partisan baseline, McGovern’s long tenure, and early endorsements further reinforce trader pricing. Late challenges remain possible if McGovern unexpectedly withdraws before the November 3 general election or if an unusually strong independent mounts a serious campaign, though both scenarios currently lack supporting developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$58,172 Vol.
$58,172 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$58,172 Vol.
$58,172 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,718 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$25,454 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly blue seat covering central Massachusetts including Worcester. His consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, combined with no Republican primary candidates filing and multiple forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic, underpin the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district’s partisan baseline, McGovern’s long tenure, and early endorsements further reinforce trader pricing. Late challenges remain possible if McGovern unexpectedly withdraws before the November 3 general election or if an unusually strong independent mounts a serious campaign, though both scenarios currently lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$58,172End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly blue seat covering central Massachusetts including Worcester. His consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, combined with no Republican primary candidates filing and multiple forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic, underpin the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district’s partisan baseline, McGovern’s long tenure, and early endorsements further reinforce trader pricing. Late challenges remain possible if McGovern unexpectedly withdraws before the November 3 general election or if an unusually strong independent mounts a serious campaign, though both scenarios currently lack supporting developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$58,172End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in Massachusetts’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly blue seat covering central Massachusetts including Worcester. His consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, combined with no Republican primary candidates filing and multiple forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic, underpin the market’s 94.5% Democratic consensus. The district’s partisan baseline, McGovern’s long tenure, and early endorsements further reinforce trader pricing. Late challenges remain possible if McGovern unexpectedly withdraws before the November 3 general election or if an unusually strong independent mounts a serious campaign, though both scenarios currently lack supporting developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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