Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Jinan overnight lows on August 30 will likely settle between 19–22°C under clearing skies, light northeast winds, and reduced humidity following scattered rain on the 29th. This setup, typical for late-summer Shandong after frontal passage, supports market-implied odds clustered near 48–50% for the 20–22°C thresholds while keeping lower outcomes like 13–18°C at comparable levels due to model spread and urban heat-island variability. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimums, as small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3°C before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 30?
18°C 97%
12°C or below 96%
13°C 96%
16°C 96%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
96%
13°C
96%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
96%
17°C
49%
18°C
97%
19°C
50%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
49%
18°C 97%
12°C or below 96%
13°C 96%
16°C 96%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
13°C
$0 Vol.
96%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
96%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
97%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Jinan overnight lows on August 30 will likely settle between 19–22°C under clearing skies, light northeast winds, and reduced humidity following scattered rain on the 29th. This setup, typical for late-summer Shandong after frontal passage, supports market-implied odds clustered near 48–50% for the 20–22°C thresholds while keeping lower outcomes like 13–18°C at comparable levels due to model spread and urban heat-island variability. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimums, as small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3°C before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Jinan overnight lows on August 30 will likely settle between 19–22°C under clearing skies, light northeast winds, and reduced humidity following scattered rain on the 29th. This setup, typical for late-summer Shandong after frontal passage, supports market-implied odds clustered near 48–50% for the 20–22°C thresholds while keeping lower outcomes like 13–18°C at comparable levels due to model spread and urban heat-island variability. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimums, as small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3°C before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Jinan overnight lows on August 30 will likely settle between 19–22°C under clearing skies, light northeast winds, and reduced humidity following scattered rain on the 29th. This setup, typical for late-summer Shandong after frontal passage, supports market-implied odds clustered near 48–50% for the 20–22°C thresholds while keeping lower outcomes like 13–18°C at comparable levels due to model spread and urban heat-island variability. Trader consensus reflects genuine uncertainty around exact minimums, as small shifts in wind or cloud cover can alter radiative cooling rates by 1–3°C before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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