**Current forecasts for Jinan on August 29, 2026, show an overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High humidity (around 70–80%) and dew points near 20°C further support this range, consistent with recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts. Earlier August heat has given way to a modest cooling trend from increased moisture and cloudiness, though no major cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected. These conditions explain the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–20°C outcomes, while much lower bins (such as 12°C or below) reflect tail-risk assessments of forecast error or localized microclimate effects rather than baseline expectations. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will be key for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 29?
12°C or below 85%
13°C 84%
19°C 45%
18°C 2%
12°C or below
85%
13°C
84%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
45%
20°C
55%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 85%
13°C 84%
19°C 45%
18°C 2%
12°C or below
85%
13°C
84%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
45%
20°C
55%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Jinan on August 29, 2026, show an overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and scattered light rain or drizzle, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High humidity (around 70–80%) and dew points near 20°C further support this range, consistent with recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts. Earlier August heat has given way to a modest cooling trend from increased moisture and cloudiness, though no major cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiational cooling is expected. These conditions explain the market’s concentration of implied probability on 19–20°C outcomes, while much lower bins (such as 12°C or below) reflect tail-risk assessments of forecast error or localized microclimate effects rather than baseline expectations. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will be key for final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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